Tropical Depression THREE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032005
0900Z MON JUL 04 2005
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND THE BANCO CHINCORRO ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
...AND THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  88.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  88.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  87.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.4N  90.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.1N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  25SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.2N  93.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N  90.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N  88.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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