March 27, 2001

Executive Summary

Introduction

Section 1: Economic Impact Analysis — The Current Role and Status of the Coal Industry in the Region's Economy

• Part 1.1: Revalidation of List of Major Appalachian Coal-Producing Counties
• Part 1.2: Detailed Economic Profile of the Coal Industry's Share of Total Employment, Output, and Income in the Appalachian Region
• Part 1.3: Estimates of the Direct, Indirect, and Induced Economic Effects Attributable to the Coal Industry
• Part 1.4: Estimates of Potential Tax Revenue Impacts Related to Coal Production and Exports
• Part 1.5: Baseline Analysis of Other Potential Economic Impacts
• Part 1.6: Groupings of Appalachian Coal-Producing Counties Organized by Sectors, Sub-State Areas, and Other Appropriate Approaches

• Part 2.1: Economic Forecasts for the Appalachian Coal-producing Region Using Baseline and Alternative Scenarios
• Part 2.2: Estimates of the Future Direct, Indirect, and Induced Economic Effects Attributable to the Coal Industry Using Economic Forecasts through 2010
• Part 2.3: Estimates of Future Tax Revenue Impacts Related to Coal Production and Exports Using Economic Forecasts through 2010
• Part 2.4: Analysis of Demographic and Transfer Payment Impacts Using Economic Forecasts through 2010

Appendix A: 118 Major Coal Producing Counties in the ARC Region

Appendix B: Mathematical Derivation of IMPLAN Multipliers

Appendix C: Data Sources

Appendix D: References

Appendix E: Baseline Data by County

Report in PDF

Prepared by:
Dr. Eric C. Thompson
Dr. Mark C. Berger
Steven N. Allen
Jonathan M. Roenker

The authors would like to thank Drs. Curt Harvey and Dan Black for their comments and contributions, as well as Arun Srinivasan and Alice Lookofsky for their excellent research assistance.

Center for Business and Economic Research
Gatton College of Business and Economics
335BA Gatton Building
University of Kentucky
Lexington, KY 40506-0034
(859) 257-7675 (Voice)
(859) 257-7671 (Fax)
cber@pop.uky.edu
http://gatton.uky.edu/CBER/cber.htm

This research was sponsored by the Appalachian Regional Commission under contract # CO-12884H.