# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center.
# Please send comments and suggestions to sec@sec.noaa.gov
#
#                      Annual Verification Statistics for K5 Short-Term Warnings
#
# Missing data: -99999
#

Year                        2006
Hits                        28
Misses                      15
False Alarms                18
Correct Rejections          2877
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.65
False Alarm Ratio           0.39
Success Ratio               0.61
Critical Success Index      0.46
Bias                        1.07
Gilbert Score               0.45
Heidke Skill Score          0.71
True Skill Statistic        0.64

Year                        2005
Hits                        47
Misses                      22
False Alarms                32
Correct Rejections          2851
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.68
False Alarm Ratio           0.40
Success Ratio               0.59
Critical Success Index      0.46
Bias                        1.14
Gilbert Score               0.46
Heidke Skill Score          0.73
True Skill Statistic        0.67

Year                        2004
Hits                        31
Misses                      27
False Alarms                17
Correct Rejections          2845
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.53
False Alarm Ratio           0.35
Success Ratio               0.65
Critical Success Index      0.41
Bias                        0.83
Gilbert Score               0.41
Heidke Skill Score          0.58
True Skill Statistic        0.53

Year                        2003
Hits                        58  
Misses                      63  
False Alarms                65  
Correct Rejections          2734
Climatology                 0.04
Probability of Detection    0.48
False Alarm Ratio           0.53
Success Ratio               0.47
Critical Success Index      0.31
Bias                        1.02
Gilbert Score               0.29
Heidke Skill Score          0.45
True Skill Statistic        0.46

Year                        2002
Hits                        22  
Misses                      26  
False Alarms                22  
Correct Rejections          2858
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.46
False Alarm Ratio           0.50
Success Ratio               0.50
Critical Success Index      0.31
Bias                        0.92
Gilbert Score               0.31
Heidke Skill Score          0.47
True Skill Statistic        0.45

Year                        2001
Hits                        30  
Misses                      20  
False Alarms                16  
Correct Rejections          2854
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.60
False Alarm Ratio           0.35
Success Ratio               0.65
Critical Success Index      0.40
Bias                        0.92
Gilbert Score               0.45
Heidke Skill Score          0.62
True Skill Statistic        0.59

Year                        2000
Hits                        29  
Misses                      25  
False Alarms                29  
Correct Rejections          2845
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.54
False Alarm Ratio           0.50
Success Ratio               0.50
Critical Success Index      0.35
Bias                        1.07
Gilbert Score               0.34
Heidke Skill Score          0.51
True Skill Statistic        0.53

Year                        1999
Hits                        9   
Misses                      49  
False Alarms                23   
Correct Rejections          2840
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.16
False Alarm Ratio           0.72
Success Ratio               0.28
Critical Success Index      0.11
Bias                        0.55
Gilbert Score               0.10
Heidke Skill Score          0.19
True Skill Statistic        0.15