Program Status for 1 February 2001 : IOP 05
Status |
Forecast Discussion |
Aircraft Status |
Flight Plan |
Soundings Status |
Special Notes
Status
0424 UTC |
The P3 has concluded scientific operations for tonight. No further alerts
are expected. The P3 is expected to land in Monterey at 2120 PST.
A flight has been scheduled for tomorrow, Friday, February 2, starting no
eariler than 1330 PST. Flight updates will be posted.
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0130 UTC |
Narrow cold frontal rainband position 0130UTC:
from 42deg56min, 127deg49min
to 43deg53min, 127deg15min
The strongest sfc winds were observed over a 200 km area west of the
warm sector rainband and east of narrow cold frontal rainband.
At 400 m ASL (flight level) winds were 50 kts, 194 deg, with sheeting of waves.
Current data:
0138UTC P3 at 43deg47minN, 125deg58minW
at 964 mb (heading 12deg)
winds: 185deg, 58.3kt
air temp: 7.3 degC
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0029 UTC
0036 UTC Image.
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At 41deg52minN, 129deg17minW (warm sector)
At 962mb: winds 227deg, 46.5 kt, air temp 10.2 deg C
Passing through band parallel and NW of WSR:
Crossed front at 41deg53minN, 129deg23minW
Postfrontal winds 255deg, 44.2 kt, air temp= 7.8 deg C
NCFR very weak echos on both tail and LF radar, orientation 30deg-210deg.
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0020 UTC
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Warm sector rainband info:
location from 40degN, 128deg08min to 42deg40min, 126deg40min
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2355 UTC
Image of warm sector rainband from lower fuselage radar.
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What had been interpreted previously as
the NCFR appears now to be an unusually
linear warm sector rainband. We are proceeding
further west (heading 273 deg) to look for
the NCFR. There was no distinct wind shift or
temperature change after punching through the
warm sector rainband.
warm sector rainband info:
tail radar: 9 km echo top, echo max=40dbz
lower fuselage radar: echo max= 40-45 dbz
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2319 UTC
|
At 41deg22min,126deg47min (prefrontal):
At 933 mb: winds 44 kt at 208 deg
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2310 UTC
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NCFR extends from 40deg43min, 128deg31min to 42deg14min, 127deg46min.
Estimated eastward motion in excess of 20 m/s, max echo intensity 35-40 dbz.
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2240 UTC
Image of NCFR from P3. |
P3 position 41 deg 15' N 126 deg 48' W, reports narrow cold frontal
rainband extending from 42 deg 11'N 128 deg 28'W to 41 deg 9'N 129 deg 5' W,
peak echo 30 dBZ at long range.
Additional Obs (pre-frontal):
At 1000 mb: winds 28.3kt, 194 deg
At 1500 ft: winds 43 kt, 210 deg, mixing ratio 5 g/kg, thetae 298 K at 41.3 N 126.7 W
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February 1 0815 PST |
Flight delayed until 1300 PST
Mission: Storm surveillance, fluxes, IMPROVE coordination.
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February 2 |
Proposed flight
Earliest take-off 1330 PST
Weather briefing at 1000 PST |
Status |
Forecast Discussion |
Aircraft Status |
Flight Plan |
Soundings Status |
Special Notes
PACJET IOP5 Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service/PACJET Operations Center, Monterey, CA
0320 UTC February 2, 2001
Discussion: Heaviest precip evident on coastal radars at this time is a
band of 35-40 DBZ echoes moving into the Willamette Valley...and an area
of 35-40 DBZ echoes about 50-100 nmi off the coast west and northwest of
EKA. The large area of enhanced clouds along the WA coast and northern
half of the OR coast continues to cool (-64 to -67C) as it spreads
inland.
Turning the focus to tomorrow...new run of ETA/MesoETA continue to
weaken the current front across far NW California tomorrow. MesoETA
generates about a third of an inch of QPF along the far NW coast (vcnty
EKA and CEC) and brings the 0.01 line about as far south as Point Arena.
More impressive development is taking place well to the west as a nice
baroclinic leaf is taking shape associated with a wave near 32N/165W.
The ETA generates quite a bit of precip between 18Z and 00Z (0.25 to
0.75 inches)...along 40N west of 135W...out ahead of this feature in the
region of strong warm advection.
Rowe
NWS/PACJET Forecaster
Status |
Forecast Discussion |
Aircraft Status |
Flight Plan |
Soundings Status |
Special Notes
Aircraft Status |
February 1 |
Flight delayed until 1300 PST.
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February 2 |
Proposed flight
Earliest take-off 1330 PST.
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Status |
Forecast Discussion |
Aircraft Status |
Flight Plan |
Soundings Status |
Special Notes
IOP 5 Flight Track
Updated: 1300 PST
Status |
Forecast Discussion |
Aircraft Status |
Flight Plan |
Soundings Status |
Special Notes
Soundings Status |
1 February |
Bodega Bay | No soundings. |
Cazadero | No soundings. |
Oakland | No special soundings. |
Reno | No special soundings. |
2 February |
Bodega Bay | Possible soundings. |
Cazadero | No soundings. |
Oakland | No special soundings. |
Reno | No special soundings. |
Status |
Forecast Discussion |
Aircraft Status |
Flight Plan |
Soundings Status |
Special Notes
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