FGUS63 KMSR 231902 ESGUPM LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 201 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2008 .B MSR 0923 Z DH12 /DC0809231401/DRD+6/DVD90/HGVFZX9/HGVFZX8/HGVFZX7 .B1 /HGVFZX6/HGVFZX5/HGVFZX4/HGVFZX3/HGVFZX2/HGVFZX1 : Chance of Exceeding Stages at Specific Locations : Valid 9/29/2008 - 12/28/2008 : : 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% : --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- :Black River BESM4 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.3 :Ontonogan River RKLM4 6.2/ 6.5/ 6.9/ 7.3/ 7.7/ 8.0/ 8.4/ 9.2/ 9.6 :Sturgeon River SNWM4 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.5/ 4.6/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.5/ 5.9 :Chocolay River HRVM4 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.9 :M Br Escanaba R HUMM4 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.5 :E BR Escanaba R GNNM4 1.7/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.6 :Sturgeon River ALSM4 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.6/ 4.9/ 5.0/ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.6 :Pine River RUDM4 2.9/ 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.5/ 5.1/ 6.0/ 6.7/ 7.3 .END : : .B MSR 0923 Z DH12 /DC0809231401/DRD+6/DVD90/HGVFZN1/HGVFZN2/HGVFZN3 .B1 /HGVFZN4/HGVFZN5/HGVFZN6/HGVFZN7/HGVFZN8/HGVFZN9 : Chance of Falling Below Stages at Specific Locations : Valid 9/29/2008 - 12/28/2008 : : 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% : --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- :Black River BESM4 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.8/ 0.8/ 0.8/ 0.9/ 0.9/ 1.0 :Ontonogan River RKLM4 5.5/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.7/ 5.7/ 5.7/ 5.7/ 5.8 :Sturgeon River SNWM4 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.9/ 3.9 :Chocolay River HRVM4 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8 :M Br Escanaba R HUMM4 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.8 :E BR Escanaba R GNNM4 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.7 :Sturgeon River ALSM4 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.8/ 3.8 :Pine River RUDM4 1.9/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.2 :Long-range probabilistic outlooks will be issued near the end of :the month throughout the year. .END $$