FGUS51 KTAR 151442 RVFBUF RIVER STAGE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER, TAUNTON, MA 1040 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ISSUED ONLY BY VARIOUS LOCAL NWS OFFICES. :BELOW ARE 6-HOURLY FORECASTS. : : :************************************************************************* :GENESEE RVR AT WELLSVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 11.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.3 FT AT 0945 EDT ON 1015 .ER WLLN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 4.3/ 4.3/ 4.4 .E2 :1016:/ 4.6/ 4.8/ 4.6/ 4.5 .E3 :1017:/ 4.4/ 4.4 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.12/0.34/0.07/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE RVR AT PORTAGEVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 19.0 : :LATEST STAGE 8.6 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER PRTN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 8.6/ 8.6/ 8.6 .E2 :1016:/ 8.9/ 9.3/ 9.6/ 9.7 .E3 :1017:/ 9.5/ 9.3 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.27/0.39/0.03/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE AT MT MORRIS DAM : : :LATEST POOL ELEVATION 588.3 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER MMDN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 588.3/ 588.3/ 588.3 .E2 :1016:/ 588.3/ 588.3/ 588.3/ 588.3 .E3 :1017:/ 588.3/ 588.3 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.29/0.39/0.01/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE AT AVON NY :FLOOD STAGE 33.0 : :LATEST STAGE 14.8 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER AVON6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 14.8/ 14.8/ 14.8 .E2 :1016:/ 14.8/ 15.1/ 15.6/ 16.1 .E3 :1017:/ 16.4/ 16.8 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.25/0.40/0.01/0.00/0.00/0.00/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************************* :OATKA CR AT GARBUTT :FLOOD STAGE 6.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.4 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER GRBN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 .E2 :1016:/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.8 .E3 :1017:/ 2.8/ 2.8 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.30/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 6.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.3 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER CHRN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 1.3/ 1.3/ 1.3 .E2 :1016:/ 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.7 .E3 :1017:/ 1.7/ 1.7 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.29/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE RIVER AT ROCHESTER NY :FLOOD STAGE 15.0 : :LATEST STAGE 3.2 FT AT 0800 EDT ON 1015 .ER RHRN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1 .E2 :1016:/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.8 .E3 :1017:/ 4.0/ 4.2 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.24/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************************* :HONEOYE CREEK AT HONEOYE FALLS NY :FLOOD STAGE 4.5 : :LATEST STAGE 0.2 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 :CREST VALUE OF 0.8 FOUND FOR HNYN6 AT 20E ON 1016. .ER HNYN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 0.2/ 0.2/ 0.2 .E2 :1016:/ 0.4/ 0.7/ 0.8/ 0.8 .E3 :1017:/ 0.7/ 0.6 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.20/0.40/0.03/0.00/0.00/0.00/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************************* :CANANDAIGUA LAKE AT CANANDAIGUA NY : : :LATEST ESTIMATED POOL ELEVATION 687.8 FT AT 0800 EDT ON 1015 .ER CNDN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 687.8/ 687.8/ 687.8 .E2 :1016:/ 687.9/ 687.9/ 687.9/ 687.9 .E3 :1017:/ 687.9/ 687.9 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.17/0.40/0.05/0.00/0.00/0.00/ : NO RECENT GAGE OBSERVATION AVAILABLE :************************************************************************* :CANANDAIGUA OUTLET AT CHAPIN NY : : :LATEST STAGE 3.4 FT AT 0700 EDT ON 1015 .ER CPNN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4 .E2 :1016:/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3 .E3 :1017:/ 3.3/ 3.3 :************************************************************************* :BLACK RIVER AT BOONVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.4 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER BOON6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.3 .E2 :1016:/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.6 .E3 :1017:/ 4.7/ 4.6 :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.01/0.40/0.07/0.01/0.00/0.00/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************************* :BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 3.5 FT AT 0815 EDT ON 1015 .ER ARTN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 3.4/ 3.3/ 3.2 .E2 :1016:/ 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.3 .E3 :1017:/ 3.4/ 3.4 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.05/0.40/0.05/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA NY :FLOOD STAGE 9.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.5 FT AT 1000 EDT ON 1015 .ER BTVN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 1.5/ 1.5/ 1.6 .E2 :1016:/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.3 .E3 :1017:/ 2.1/ 2.0 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.34/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS NY :FLOOD STAGE 12.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.3 FT AT 0730 EDT ON 1015 .ER RAPN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 1.3/ 1.3/ 1.3 .E2 :1016:/ 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.7 .E3 :1017:/ 1.8/ 1.8 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.35/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.5 FT AT 0835 EDT ON 1015 .ER GOWN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 1.5/ 1.5/ 1.9 .E2 :1016:/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 2.9/ 2.5 .E3 :1017:/ 2.3/ 2.2 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.38/0.39/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :BUFFALO CREEK AT GARDENVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 7.0 : :LATEST STAGE 0.6 FT AT 1015 EDT ON 1015 .ER GDVN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 0.6/ 0.6/ 1.0 .E2 :1016:/ 1.9/ 1.8/ 1.6/ 1.4 .E3 :1017:/ 1.2/ 1.1 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.39/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :CAYUGA CREEK AT LANCASTER NY :FLOOD STAGE 8.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.9 FT AT 1030 EDT ON 1015 .ER LCSN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 2.9/ 2.8/ 3.5 .E2 :1016:/ 4.4/ 3.7/ 3.4/ 3.3 .E3 :1017:/ 3.1/ 3.0 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.37/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :CAZENOVIA CREEK AT EBENEZER NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.3 FT AT 0900 EDT ON 1015 .ER EBZN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.6 .E2 :1016:/ 3.7/ 4.0/ 3.9/ 3.7 .E3 :1017:/ 3.5/ 3.3 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.01/0.01/0.01/0.01/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.41/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :************************************************************************* :ELLICOTT CREEK AT WILLIAMSVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 8.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.8 FT AT 0900 EDT ON 1015 .ER WILN6 20081015 E DC200810151040/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :1015: / 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9 .E2 :1016:/ 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E3 :1017:/ 2.2/ 2.1 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1015. : 0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 08AM EDT on 1017. : 0.00/0.00/0.38/0.40/0.00/0.00/0.00/0.00/ :******************************************************************** :COMMENT : : : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...