NOUS41 KWBC 121332
PNSWSH

SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE 07-58
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
832 AM EST WED DEC 12 2007 

TO:	  FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER 
          WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS 
          WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS 
          ...NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER 
          SERVICE /NWS/ PARTNERS AND USERS...NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:     ROBERT E. LIVEZEY
          CHIEF...CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

SUBJECT:  EXPERIMENTAL GLOBAL TROPICS BENEFITS/HAZARDS ASSESSMENT 
          TO BE ISSUED ON MONDAYS: EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 17 2007	

EFFECTIVE MONDAY DECEMBER 17 2007...A NEW EXPERIMENTAL GLOBAL 
TROPICS BENEFITS/HAZARDS ASSESSMENT WILL BE AVAILABLE EACH MONDAY 
AT 4:00 PM EST /2100 UTC/ ON THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER WEB 
SITE AT THE FOLLOWING SITE /USE LOWER CASE EXCEPT CW/. 

WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRECIP/CWLINK/GHAZARDS/GHAZ.SHTML

THE EXPERIMENTAL GLOBAL TROPICS BENEFITS/HAZARDS ASSESSMENT WILL 
PROVIDE AN OUTLOOK FOR TWO COMPONENTS DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK 1 
AND WEEK 2 PERIOD:

1. AREAS EXPECTING EXTENSIVE AND PERSISTENT ENHANCED/SUPPRESSED
   RAINFALL

2. REGIONS WHERE CONDITIONS ARE ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE
   FOR TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS

THE PRODUCT WILL EMPHASIZE IMPACTS ACROSS THE GLOBAL TROPICS ONLY 
AND WILL SERVE AS AN ADDITIONAL RESOURCE FOR NWS FORECASTERS 
INTERESTED IN MONITORING TROPICAL CONVECTION AND TROPICAL CYCLONE 
POTENTIAL AND FOR THOSE WITH SOCIO-ECONOMIC INTERESTS IN THESE 
AREAS. 

THE WEBSITE CONTAINS A TABLE OF TWO IMAGES FOR WEEK 1 AND WEEK 2 
OUTLOOKS. EACH IMAGE ILLUSTRATES NUMBERED TROPICAL BENEFITS AND 
HAZARDS WITH A TEXT DESCRIPTION BELOW THE MAP EXPLAINING THE 
NATURE AND RATIONALE FOR THE HIGHLIGHTED REGION. IMAGES CAN BE 
MADE LARGER BY CLICKING ON THE HEADING LABELS. THE ENTIRE PRODUCT 
/BOTH MAPS AND COVER PAGE IN PDF FORMAT/ AS WELL AS ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION RELATED TO THE PHYSICAL BASIS AND RATIONALE FOR THE 
OUTLOOKS IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEBSITE. 

FROM DECEMBER 17 2007 THROUGH NOVEMBER 3 2008...COMMENTS WILL BE 
ACCEPTED AT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE /USE LOWER CASE EXCEPT CW AND 
NWS/:

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRECIP/CWLINK/GHAZARDS/
NWS-FEEDBACK-FORM.HTML 
  
WHEN THE COMMENT PERIOD CLOSES...THIS EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT WILL 
BE EVALUATED USING OBJECTIVE /E.G. STATISTICAL AND TECHNICAL 
DATA/ AND SUBJECTIVE /E.G. INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL FEEDBACK/ 
CRITERIA TO DETERMINE IF AND WHEN THE PRODUCT WILL BE UPGRADED TO 
OFFICIAL STATUS.

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS...PLEASE CONTACT:

  JON GOTTSCHALCK 
  CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - W/NP52
  5200 AUTH ROAD
  CAMP SPRINGS MD 20746-4304
  PHONE: 301-763-8000 EXT 7753

THIS AND ALL OTHER NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTICES ARE POSTED AT /USE 
LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

  HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

$$
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