000
ABNT20 KNHC 111759
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ROUGHLY MIDWAY BETWEEN THE
WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES CONTINUES TO SHOW
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THE ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS INCREASED OVER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. THERE ARE SOME
INDICATIONS THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA