000
ABNT20 KNHC 140542
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NANA...LOCATED ABOUT 1180 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN...LOCATED
ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...A SHORT DISTANCE EAST OF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF NICARAGUA.
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE VERY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO IF IT REMAINS OVER
WATER.  A SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL
AMERICA IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.  REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT
THIS SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND
BELIZE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NANA AND APPROXIMATELY 1100 MILES WEST OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...CONTINUES TO GENERATE SOME
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  THIS
SYSTEM WILL ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT35 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT25 AND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH