Local Research

South Florida Severe Weathe Climatology

Journal Articles

Etherton, B. and P. Santos, 2007: A comparison of WRF forecasts made using different sources for initial and boundary conditions. Weather and Forecasting. Accepted.

Lazarus, M. L., C. G. Calvert, M. E. Splitt, P. Santos, D. W. Sharp, P. F. Blottman, and S. M. Spratt, 2007: Multi-Platform Real-Time Sea Surface Temperature Analysis for the Initialization of Short-Term Operational Forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev. In press.

Santos, P, Carey, K., MacKenzie, W., Zhang, J., Ferraro, R., Yoe, J., 2007: Global Positioning System (GPS) Meteorology Integrated Precipitable Water (IPW). Accepted for publication at the NWA Electronic Journal.

Etherton, B. and P. Santos, 2006:  The effect of using AWIPS LAPS to locally initialize the WsEta. NWA Digest., 30, 49-60.

Handel, R. and P. Santos, 2005: Observations of a Wake Low Event, NWA Electronic Journal.

Pfost, P. P. Santos, and T. Warner, 2005: South Florida Sea Breeze/Outflow Boundary Tornadoes, NWA Electronic Journal.

Herbster, Christopher G., Patrick T. Welsh and Pablo Santos, 1999: A Study of Sea Breeze Convective Interactions Using Mesoscale Numerical Modeling. NWA Dig., 23:3, 33-45.

Conference Papers

Case, J. L., P. Santos, S. Lazarus, M. Splitt, S. L. Haines, S. R. Dembek, and W. M. Lapenta, 2008: A Multi-Season Study of the Effects of MODIS Sea-Surface Tempratures on Operational WRF Forecasts at NWS Miami, FL. Submitted to the 12th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface, Amer. Meteor. Soc., New Orleans, LA.

Santos, P., A. Devanas, K. Kasper, and D. Gregoria, 2008: Tropical Cyclone Induced Tornados Associated with the Formation of Tropical Storm Barry. Submitted to the Tropical Meteorology Symposium, Amer. Meteor. Soc., New Orleans, LA.

Santos, P., D. Sharp, M. Volkmer, and G. Rader, 2008: Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Convery Forecast Uncertainty and Potential Impact through NWS Field Office Forecast Products. Submitted to the Tropical Meteorology Symposium, Amer. Meteor. Soc., New Orleans, LA.

Case, J. L., K. M. LaCasse, S. R. Dembek, P. Santos, and W. M. Lapenta, 2007: Impact of MODIS High-Resolution Sea-Surface Temperatures on WRF Forecasts at NWS Miami, FL. Preprints NWA Annual Meeting, Reno, NV.

Strassberg, G. and P. Santos, 2007: Mesoscale Elements of the 14 December 2006 West Palm Beach Flash Flood. Preprints 22th Conference on Weather and Forecasting, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Park City, UT.

Sharp, D., M.Volkmer, P. Santos, G. Rader, and M. Sardi, 2006: Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Enhance Local Forecasts and Improve Guidance for Decision-Makers. Preprints 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Amer. Meteor. Soc, Monterey, CA.

Lazarus, S., C. G. Calvert, M. E. Splitt, D. Sharp, P. Blottman, S. Spratt, and P. Santos, 2006: Multi-platform real-time sea surface temperature analysis for the initialization of short-term operational forecasts. Preprints 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), Amer. Meteor. Soc., Atlanta, GA.

Etherton, B., and P. Santos, 2006: Sensitivity of WRF forecasts for South Florida to Initial and Boundary Conditions (PDF Version). Preprints 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), Atlanta, GA.

Etherton, B. and P. Santos, 2005: AMS 17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction: A comparison of WRF forecasts made using different sources for initial and boundary conditions. Preprints 17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Washington, D.C.

Etherton, B., P. Santos, S. Lazarus, and C. Calvert, 2005: The effect of using AWIPS LAPS and High Resolution SSTs to locally initialize the Workstation ETA. Preprints Ninth Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), Amer. Meteor. Soc., San Diego, CA.

Calvert, C. G., S. M. Lazarus, P. Santos, D. W. Sharp, P. Blottman, and S. Spratt, 2005: Assimilation of Multi-Satellite High Resolution Sea Surface Temperatures for a Real-Time Local Analysis and Forecasting System. Preprints Ninth Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), Amer. Meteor. Soc., San Diego, CA.

Handel, R. and P. Santos, 2004: Observations From The 13 April 2004 Wake Low Damaging Wind Event in South Florida. Preprints 22^th  Conference on Severe Local Storms, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Hyannis, MA.

Etherton, B., and P. Santos, 2004: The Effect of Local Initialization on Workstation Eta. Preprints 16^th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,  Seattle, WA.

Warner, T., and P. Santos, 2003: The MiamiMetropolitan Area Tornado of 27 March 2003: A Qualitative Assessment of Vorticity Enhancement in a Developing Supercell Interacting With an Advancing Outflow Boundary. NWA 28^th Annual Meeting, Jacksonville, FL.

Santos, P. and E. Smith, 2003: Seasonal Characteristics of the Gulf of Mexico-Caribbean Basin Water Budget during One Semiannual Cycle as Retrieved from Satellite. Preprints 17^th Conference on Hydrology, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Long Beach, CA.

Santos, P., G. Rader, Z. Brown, and D. P. Brown, 2002: The October 3-4 2000 Heavy Precipitation/Flash Flood Event Across South Florida (PDF Version).  Preprints 16^th Conference on Hydrology, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Orlando, FL.

Santos, P. and R. Pfost, 2002: Verification of Local Modeling at the National Weather Service Forecast  Office in Miami, FL and Ingest of Local Data into LAPS and MSAS in AWIPS (PPT Presentation). Preprints Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, Local Modeling, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Orlando, FL.

Other Local Studies

Tropical cyclone quantitative precipitation forecasting. Pfost, Russell, 2003.
Underreporting of heat and cold related deaths in Florida. Lushine, James B., 1999.
Tornado outbreak in the Middle and Upper Florida Keys associated with Tropical Storm Mitch. Rader, Guy E.
  and Jack Gross, 1999.
Summary of Hurricane Irene in South Florida. 1999.
South Florida 1998 Groundhog Day tornado outbreak. Brabander, Kim O., 1998.
An approach to waterspout forecasting for South Florida and the Keys. Brown, Daniel P. and Joel Rothfuss.
Climatological probabilities of precipitation for South Florida. Brown, Daniel  P., 1998.
Summary of severe weather outbreak in South Florida February 2, 1998. Lushine, James B., 1998.
Using potential vorticity to diagnose the development of the December 15, 1997 Flagler Beach Storm. Santos, Pablo., 1998.
ETA model and radar observations which enabled accurate forecasts and timely warnings of downtown Miami F1 tornado.
  Brown, Daniel P., 1997.
Duration of the summer season in South Florida. Biedinger, Raymond E., 1993. Updated by James B. Lushine 5/19/1998.

Other NOAA Research Agencies
AOML/Hurricane Research Division
National Hurricane Center

Atmospheric Science Journals
American Meteorological Society - Journals or Conference Preprints
National Weather Association - Electronic Journal of Operational Meteorology