000 WTUS82 KMLB 191345 HLSMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY INLAND IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...RAIN SPREADING INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH HEAVY RAINBANDS AND SQUALLS LIFTING NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN MARTIN COUNTY UNTIL 1030 AM THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM...RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND IN SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND TODAY. FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-201345- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- NORTHERN BREVARD- 945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS MARTIN...OKECHOBEE AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES THIS MORNING. A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 50 MPH WILL LIFT NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THEN SPIRAL NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH 2 TO 3 INCH PER HOUR TOTALS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY. BRIEF TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR WITHIN PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. LISTEN FOR UPDATED WEATHER BULLETINS THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IMMEDIATELY IF TORNADO OR FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... A VERY LOW THREAT FOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL EXIST NEAR THE COAST AND ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS...WITH STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE WATERS EXPECTED TO REACH LEVELS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. IN ADDITION...MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION AND HEAVY SURF ARE LIKELY. IMPACTS WILL BE GREATEST DURING TIMES OF PEAK ONSHORE WINDS COINCIDENT WITH TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH WILL BE BETWEEN 1030 AND 1130 AM. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS HAVE BEEN 25 TO 30 KNOTS RANGE GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS SINCE 2 AM. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE... BECOMING 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND POSSIBLY AROUND 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS MORNING. SINCE FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE LAKE... SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE SOUTH SHORE TOWARD THE NORTH SHORE...RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL LAKE LEVELS FROM CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO LAKEPORT...WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE BELLE GLADE...SOUTH BAY AND CLEWISTON AREAS. IF FAY PASSES DIRECTLY OVER OR EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVELS IN THE LAKE WILL FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION AND SPEED OF THE WIND. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN SQUALLS REACHING 40 TO 45 MPH SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA BEACH... AND LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN HEAVY SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY AS SQUALLS SPREAD ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC...AND ALSO LATER TODAY FARTHER INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD AT MOST LOCATIONS. WIND CONDITIONS NORTH AND WEST OF ORLANDO MAY NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG...AS FAY IS NOW FORECAST TO PASS JUST EAST OF THIS REGION. THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM. RECENT SQUALLS PRODUCED WIND GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH AT STUART AND 36 MPH AT FORT PIERCE. ...INLAND FLOODING... THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN MARTIN LAKE AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS RAIN BANDS CONTAINING TORRENTIAL TROPICAL DOWNPOURS SPREAD NORTH... WITH MULTIPLE BANDS MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR LESS WILL BE COMMON WITH THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS. HIGHER RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND MAY ALLOW WATER TO APPROACH HOMES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF ORLANDO. AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND LAKE GEORGE. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR TORNADIC STORMS TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND SPREADS NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC CELLS WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE COAST. SEVERAL TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES ALREADY THIS MORNING...HOWEVER NO TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. $$ AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-201345- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL SPREAD NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 45 KNOTS WILL LIFT NORTH FROM THE WATERS EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. BRIEF WATERSPOUT SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF STUART EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ADDITIONAL WATERSPOUTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN SQUALLS REACHING 40 TO 45 KNOTS SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...AND LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD. THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR STRENGTHENS AND SPREADS NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. SEVERAL WATERSPOUT SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS THE PALM BEACH COASTAL WATERS ALREADY THIS MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-200800- /O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE- SOUTHERN LAKE- 945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS MARTIN...OKECHOBEE AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES THIS MORNING. A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN 30 AND 50 MPH WILL LIFT NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THEN SPIRAL NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH 2 TO 3 INCH PER HOUR TOTALS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY. BRIEF TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR WITHIN PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. LISTEN FOR UPDATED WEATHER BULLETINS THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IMMEDIATELY IF TORNADO OR FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS HAVE BEEN 25 TO 30 KNOTS RANGE GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS SINCE 2 AM. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE... BECOMING 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND POSSIBLY AROUND 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS MORNING. SINCE FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE LAKE... SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE SOUTH SHORE TOWARD THE NORTH SHORE...RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL LAKE LEVELS FROM CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO LAKEPORT...WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE BELLE GLADE...SOUTH BAY AND CLEWISTON AREAS. IF FAY PASSES DIRECTLY OVER OR EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVELS IN THE LAKE WILL FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION AND SPEED OF THE WIND. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN SQUALLS REACHING 40 TO 45 MPH SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA BEACH... AND LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN HEAVY SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY AS SQUALLS SPREAD ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC...AND ALSO LATER TODAY FARTHER INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD AT MOST LOCATIONS. WIND CONDITIONS NORTH AND WEST OF ORLANDO MAY NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG...AS FAY IS NOW FORECAST TO PASS JUST EAST OF THIS REGION. THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM. RECENT SQUALLS PRODUCED WIND GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH AT STUART AND 36 MPH AT FORT PIERCE. ...INLAND FLOODING... THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN MARTIN LAKE AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS RAIN BANDS CONTAINING TORRENTIAL TROPICAL DOWNPOURS SPREAD NORTH... WITH MULTIPLE BANDS MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR LESS WILL BE COMMON WITH THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS. HIGHER RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND MAY ALLOW WATER TO APPROACH HOMES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF ORLANDO. AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND LAKE GEORGE. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR TORNADIC STORMS TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND SPREADS NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC CELLS WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE COAST. SEVERAL TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES ALREADY THIS MORNING...HOWEVER NO TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA