000 WTUS82 KMLB 201922 HLSMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 322 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...SQUALLS CONTAINING FLOODING RAIN OVER BREVARD COUNTY AND NORTH INDIAN RIVER COUNTY CONTINUE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR BREVARD COUNTY !!! TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD... INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA. FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION TODAY...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLZ047-054-059-141-147-211930- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA- NORTHERN BREVARD- 322 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...EXTREME FLOODING EXPECTED FOR BREVARD COUNTY... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE FLOOD THREAT FOR BREVARD COUNTY REMAINS EXTREME! HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO NORTH INDIAN RIVER COUNTY! ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER... BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ...INLAND FLOODING... THIS IS A HISTORIC AND HAZARDOUS RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS THE AREA! LIFE AND PROPERTY ARE IN JEOPARDY! THERE IS AN EXTREME THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FOR THE LOCAL AREA FROM HEAVY RAIN...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS TO WELL EXCEED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AT 200 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS SHOWING NO SIGNS THAT THE STRONG SQUALL OVER SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY AND NORTH INDIAN RIVER COUNTY IS WEAKENING...ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN CORES ARE SHIFTING ABIT AS FAY WOBBLES AND CREEPS FORWARD. THIS SQUALL...SOUTH OF THE CENTER...WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST AND PRODUCE ADDITIONAL TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND MAJOR FLOODING IN PARTS OF MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY AND NEARBY TOWNS AND NEIGHBORHOODS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY REACH AS MUCH AS 30 INCHES FOR EVENT TOTALS...WITH ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON! AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE...RAIN TOTALS HAVE REACHED 16.46 INCHES SO FAR...AND IT CONTINUES TO RAIN. IN PARTS OF NORTH MELBOURNE...NEARLY 25 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED. ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN...NOW...FOR AN EXTREME IMPACT FROM INLAND FLOODING! SCATTERED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MAJOR FLOODING...AMONG MANY LOCATIONS OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IN BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES! FLOODING WILL BE FURTHER ACCENTUATED IN LOW LYING SPOTS AND NEAR PONDS AND LAKES! TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY! DO NOT GO OUT ONTO THE ROADWAYS...AS DRAINAGE DITCHES AND RETENTION PONDS ARE OVERFLOWING IN BREVARD COUNTY! THE ROADS ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND IT IS VERY DANGEROUS TO DRIVE! DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS PLACES WHERE WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT! IF YOU HAVE A LIFE THREATENING EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1. IF YOU NEED GUIDANCE ON WHAT TO DO IF WATER THREATENS YOUR HOME...CONTACT CITY OR COUNTY OFFICIALS WITH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. HEED THE WORD OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES IF YOU ARE TOLD TO EVACUATE. FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY BREVARD COUNTY UNTIL FAY RESUMES APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS CONTINUE ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. DURING MAJOR INLAND FLOODING...AREA RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES CAN OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS. SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...CANALS...AND DRAINAGE DITCHES CAN BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. IN FLATTER TERRAIN...EXTENSIVE INUNDATION OFTEN OCCURS COVERING BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS. IN URBAN PLACES...WIDESPREAD INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOMING RIVERS OF MOVING WATER. OVERALL...MAJOR DAMAGE RESULTS FROM FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION...WHICH CAN GREATLY IMPACT MANY BUILDINGS AND ROADS...AND PROMPT EVACUATIONS. RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 10 TO 14 INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OF 20 TO 24 INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA COUNTY. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION. IMPORTANTLY...MODERATE TO EXTREME FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN POCKETS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY....ESPECIALLY IN THE MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY AREAS...AND VICINITY. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL! ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE! THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN AFFECT THROUGH 430 PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY. THIS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH STANDING WATER WHICH ARE IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. ROAD CLOSURES ARE VERY LIKELY! PROBLEMS WITH SEWER BACKUPS MAY OCCUR...CONTAMINATING STANDING WATER. ALSO...CHECK WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS FOR POSSIBLE WATER BOIL ALERTS IN YOUR AREA. ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE THE ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SOUTH OF BREVARD COUNTY TONIGHT BUT NOT UNTIL FRIDAY FROM BREVARD AND NORTH. THERE IS STILL A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY. HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION OF FAY APPEARS MUCH LESS LIKELY AS IT TRACKS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY CLOSELY. ...TORNADOES... AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS WINDS CONTINUE TO SHIFT OFFSHORE SOUTH OF THE CAPE...STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL. HIGH SURF AND A HIGH THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TO THE NORTH OF THE CAPE...TIDES MAY RUN 2 TO 3 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL MID DAY TODAY AND AGAIN NEAR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL BE HIGHEST ALONG THE NORTHERN VOLUSIA COAST TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. $$ AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-211930- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 322 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... FAY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXIST IN THE OPEN ATLANTIC AS FAY MEANDERED NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WERE BEING REPORTED AT BUOY 41009 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEAS ARE OVER 10 FEET EXCEPT NEAR THE COAST FROM CAPE CANAVERAL SOUTHWARD WHERE HEIGHTS WERE 4 TO 6 FEET. NUMEROUS SQUALLS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AS CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. $$ FLZ041-044>046-144-211930- /O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/ INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE- 322 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS IN VICINITY OF THE NORTH BREVARD COUNTY COAST...WITH A CREEPING MOTION TO THE NORTH ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY. ...WINDS... AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40 MPH IN SHOWERS. THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES. ...INLAND FLOODING... FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY BREVARD COUNTY AND EXTENDING INTO PORTIONS OF OSCEOLA COUNTY....AND NORTH INDIAN RIVER COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS ARE NOW ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY AND NORTH INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. $$ FLZ053-202200- /O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T2200Z/ OSCEOLA- 322 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...EXTREME FLOODING FOR EAST OSCEOLA COUNTY EXPECTED... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE FLOOD THREAT FOR EAST OSCEOLA COUNTY CONTINUES TO BE EXTREME! ...INLAND FLOODING... THIS IS A HISTORIC AND HAZARDOUS RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS THE AREA! LIFE AND PROPERTY ARE IN JEOPARDY! THERE IS AN EXTREME THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FOR THE LOCAL AREA FROM HEAVY RAIN...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS TO WELL EXCEED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AT 200 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS SHOWING NO SIGNS THAT THE STRONG SQUALLS OVER EAST OSCEOLA COUNTY IS WEAKENING...ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN CORES ARE SHIFTING ABIT AS FAY WOBBLES AND CREEPS FORWARD. THIS SQUALL...SOUTH OF THE CENTER...WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST AND PRODUCE ADDITIONAL TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND MAJOR FLOODING IN PARTS OF MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY AND NEARBY TOWNS AND NEIGHBORHOODS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY REACH AS MUCH AS 30 INCHES FOR EVENT TOTALS...WITH ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON! AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE...RAIN TOTALS HAVE REACHED 16.46 INCHES SO FAR...AND IT CONTINUES TO RAIN. IN PARTS OF NORTH MELBOURNE...NEARLY 25 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED. ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN...NOW...FOR AN EXTREME IMPACT FROM INLAND FLOODING! SCATTERED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MAJOR FLOODING...AMONG MANY LOCATIONS OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IN BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES! FLOODING WILL BE FURTHER ACCENTUATED IN LOW LYING SPOTS AND NEAR PONDS AND LAKES! TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY! DO NOT GO OUT ONTO THE ROADWAYS...AS DRAINAGE DITCHES AND RETENTION PONDS ARE OVERFLOWING IN BREVARD COUNTY! THE ROADS ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND IT IS VERY DANGEROUS TO DRIVE! DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS PLACES WHERE WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT! IF YOU HAVE A LIFE THREATENING EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1. IF YOU NEED GUIDANCE ON WHAT TO DO IF WATER THREATENS YOUR HOME...CONTACT CITY OR COUNTY OFFICIALS WITH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. HEED THE WORD OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES IF YOU ARE TOLD TO EVACUATE. FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY BREVARD COUNTY UNTIL FAY RESUMES APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS CONTINUE ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. DURING MAJOR INLAND FLOODING...AREA RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES CAN OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS. SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...CANALS...AND DRAINAGE DITCHES CAN BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. IN FLATTER TERRAIN...EXTENSIVE INUNDATION OFTEN OCCURS COVERING BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS. IN URBAN PLACES...WIDESPREAD INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOMING RIVERS OF MOVING WATER. OVERALL...MAJOR DAMAGE RESULTS FROM FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION...WHICH CAN GREATLY IMPACT MANY BUILDINGS AND ROADS...AND PROMPT EVACUATIONS. RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 10 TO 14 INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OF 20 TO 24 INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA COUNTY. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION. IMPORTANTLY...MODERATE TO EXTREME FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN POCKETS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY....ESPECIALLY IN THE MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY AREAS...AND VICINITY. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL! ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE! THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN AFFECT THROUGH 430 PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY. THIS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH STANDING WATER WHICH ARE IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. ROAD CLOSURES ARE VERY LIKELY! PROBLEMS WITH SEWER BACKUPS MAY OCCUR...CONTAMINATING STANDING WATER. ALSO...CHECK WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS FOR POSSIBLE WATER BOIL ALERTS IN YOUR AREA. ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE THE ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET. ...WINDS... AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40 MPH IN SHOWERS. THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.