FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T. FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2001 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Statement of Lois Orr Acting Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics before the Joint Economic Committee UNITED STATES CONGRESS Friday, November 2, 2001 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the October labor market data we released this morning. Payroll employment dropped sharply over the month in most industries. The unemployment rate climbed to 5.4 percent in October, the highest rate in nearly 5 years. These changes include the impact of the events of September 11. The attacks' impact, however, cannot be separated from other influences on the job market. The decline in total nonfarm payroll employment was 415,000 in October, an unusually large single-month drop. This followed a sizable decline of 213,000 in September. Since its recent peak in March, nonfarm employment has fallen by nearly 900,000. Private sector job losses have been even greater—1.2 million over the same period. In October, nearly every industry division had a substantial decline in employment. Job losses in manufacturing continued to be heavy and widespread, totalling 142,000 in October. Although factory employment has been in decline for some time, since March alone it has fallen by more than 800,000. In services, employment fell by 111,000 in October, the fourth (and largest) decline this year in an industry that had had only one other monthly decline since May 1991. Particularly large job losses occurred in the help supply industry and in hotels. In the transportation industry, air transportation and transportation services (largely travel agencies) employment dropped by 42,000 and 11,000, respectively. As with hotels, these large declines were undoubtedly related to cutbacks in travel since September 11. Retail trade posted its second large job loss in a row, as weakness continued in eating and drinking places. In addition, some other areas of retail that normally would begin holiday hiring in October failed to add jobs at usual levels. These include apparel stores and miscellaneous retailers, such as toy stores and gift shops. Elsewhere, employment in construction and in wholesale trade also fell over the month. In contrast, a few industries added jobs in October, including health services, private education, mortgage banking, and guard services. Turning now to data from our household survey, the unemployment rate rose by half a percentage point in October to 5.4 percent, the highest jobless rate since late 1996. The number of unemployed grew by more than 700,000 in October. Most of the over-the-month increase in unemployment reflected persons who had lost jobs, as opposed to those who had left jobs voluntarily or had been out of the labor force. Weak labor market conditions were pervasive, but increases in jobless rates were particularly severe for blue-collar workers. The unemployment rates for adult men, adult women, whites, blacks, and Hispanics all increased in October. Civilian employment fell by about 600,000 and the proportion of the population with a job in October declined to 63.3 percent. The number of part-time workers who would have preferred to work full time increased sharply for the second consecutive month, rising from 3.3 million in August to 4.5 million in October. The 2-month increase was concentrated among workers whose hours were reduced because of slack work or unfavorable business conditions. In summary, employment in almost all major nonfarm industry groups fell in October; the total job loss was 415,000. The unemployment rate rose by one-half percentage point to 5.4 percent, the highest rate in nearly 5 years. My colleagues and I now would be glad to answer your questions.