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Tropical Storm HANNA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1500 UTC SAT AUG 30 2008
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 1 1 5 7 13
TROP DEPRESSION 3 4 5 8 16 16 17
TROPICAL STORM 91 74 57 53 50 48 44
HURRICANE 7 22 37 38 30 29 27
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 6 20 31 28 22 21 19
HUR CAT 2 1 2 3 7 5 6 6
HUR CAT 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
HUR CAT 4 X X X 1 1 X 1
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50KT 55KT 60KT 60KT 55KT 55KT 55KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 3(13)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 8(19) 6(25)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 8(20) 5(25)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 13(25) 8(33) 3(36)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 15(38) 5(43) 3(46)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 2(16)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 14(34) 10(44) 5(49) 2(51)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 2(17) 1(18)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 1 9(10) 17(27) 7(34) 5(39) 2(41) 2(43)
GRAND TURK 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 3(15)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 3(18)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 4(15) 2(17) 1(18)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9)
SAN JUAN 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN
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