Tropical Storm ARTHUR

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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012008
1700 UTC SAT MAY 31 2008
 
AT 1 PM EDT...1700 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE....AND THE
GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CABO
CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA..IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  88.5W AT 31/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  88.5W AT 31/1700Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  88.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.5N  91.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.0N  94.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  88.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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