Issued:					Friday, Oct 10, 2008																				Updated:  Mon. - Fri. by 1030 MDT
																														Predictive Service Areas																			Ytd				Fri				Sat				Sun				Mon				Tue				Wed				Thu
																																																	Oct 09				Oct 10				Oct 11				Oct 12				Oct 13				Oct 14				Oct 15				Oct 16
																														SW01  Northwest AZ																			0				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW02  West-Central AZ																			3				3				3				3				3				3				3				3
																														SW03  Southwest AZ																			2				2				2				2				2				2				2				2
																														SW04  Four Corners Area																			0				2				2				2				2				1				1				1
																														SW05  Western Mogollon Rim																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW06N  Central AZ/Phoenix Metro																			0				2				2				2				2				2				1				1
																														SW06S  Southeast AZ																			2				2				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW07   Northwest NM Mtns.																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW08  White Mtns. & Gila Region																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW09  South/Cntrl. NM Lowlands																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW10  Sangre de Cristo Mtns.																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW11  Central NM Mtns. & Plains																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW12  South-Central NM Mtns.																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW13  Northeast NM/NW TX																			2				2				2				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW14N  Southeast NM/West TX																			2				2				2				2				1				1				1				2
																														SW14S  Southwest TX/Big Bend																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																																																			Print Version									National Map									Product Description
																														Weather Synopsis:
																														Windy and turning cooler as we transition into the weekend, with precipitation developing mainly across the eastern half of the area.  Weak high pressure and warm & dry conditions will give way to increasing winds from west to east as strong low pressure dives toward the Southwest.  This will bring locally critical fire weather conditions today across western AZ, which will be mitigated by substantially cooler conditions and higher humidity on Saturday.  Otherwise, the entire region will see winds ramp up today into Saturday, followed by clouds and chances for precipitation across mainly the eastern half of the region from Saturday into early next week along with an area-wide cool-down.  Conditions will be slow to recover during the first half of next week across the east, as a secondary low hangs back in the wake of larger departing storm system.  Models are starting to portray a strengthening high in the southeastern U.S. that will possibly keep moisture into at least the eastern half of the region through late next week with only the western half of AZ drying out.
	NOTICE:  Forecasts for the following PSA's may be unavailable or unrepresentative of actual conditions due to missing observations from the stations listed:
																														Fire Potential Discussion:
																														Generally low risk for significant fire activity.  A more active fall weather pattern with periodic precipitation and significantly cooler temperatures at times will generally mitigate fire potential.  However, periods of enhanced risk will occur when and where windy and dry conditions align with dry and/or dormant fuels...which may occur across western AZ on Friday before cooler and more humid weather moves in on Saturday.
	SW01 Frazier Wells    SW04 Piney Hill     Washington Pass Albino           SW10 Truchas
																														Resource Discussion:
																																Within Southwest Area																															SWA Preparedness Level:																1
																														Low resource demand potential across the Area.  Initial attack activity will be at late September levels and the need for other than local resources will be negligible.
		SOUTHWEST AREA ANTICIPATED RESOURCE DEMAND INDEX **
																																From/To National																															National Preparedness Level:																2
							Anticipate low demand for resources from outside the Area																							Negligible demand for OUT-OF-AREA T1 crews and T1&2 IMT's.  Anticipate no demand for T1 crews and IMT's within or outside of the the area over the next 7-Days.
							Anticipate low to moderate demand for resources from outside the Area
																														SWA ANTICIPATED RESOURCE DEMAND (ARD) **																							Fri				Sat				Sun				Mon				Tue				Wed				Thu
							Anticipate moderate to high demand for resources from outside the Area
																																																					Oct 10				Oct 11				Oct 12				Oct 13				Oct 14				Oct 15				Oct 16
																																This table is experimental.														T1 & 2 IMT's							1				1				1				1				1				1				1
							Anticipate high to very high demand for resources from outside the Area
																																														T1 Crews							1				1				1				1				1				1				1
			** (Experimental Index)  Indicates resource commitment versus demand for additional resources. Resources refers to T1 resources (i.e. Crews, Helo's, A/T's, IMT's).																																																		** Defining the National Anticipation Resource Demand Table
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