Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  61
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC FRI JUL 18 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  53.7W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  53.7W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  54.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.6N  51.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.0N  48.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 42.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.0N  41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 54.0N  31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N  53.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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