Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1500 UTC FRI JUL 11 2008
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  62.0W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  62.0W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.2N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.2N  62.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N  62.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 37.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  62.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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