Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC WED JUL 09 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  56.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  56.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  56.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N  57.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N  59.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.8N  60.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 33.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  56.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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