Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
2100 UTC MON JUL 07 2008
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  52.1W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE  90SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  52.1W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  51.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.8N  53.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N  55.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.9N  57.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 31.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  52.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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