Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
2100 UTC SUN JUL 06 2008
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  47.0W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  47.0W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  46.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.7N  49.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.5N  52.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.2N  54.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.9N  56.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  47.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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