|
|
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOSEPHINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008
...CORRECTED FOR HEADER...
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS
...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 6 13 28 29 28 NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 73 57 51 45 38 NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 21 29 20 25 30 NA NA
HURRICANE X 1 1 2 4 NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 X 1 1 1 3 NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X X 1 NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25KT 25KT 20KT 20KT 20KT NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/KNABB
NNNN
Get Storm Info
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Advisory Archive -
Mobile Products -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds -
About NHC Products
Tropical Analysis and Forecasting
Atlantic Products -
E Pac Products -
About TAFB Products
Learn About Hurricanes
Hurricane Awareness -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division -
Hurricane Hunters -
The Saffir-Simpson-Hurricane Scale -
Forecasting Models -
Inland Wind Model -
Eyewall Wind-Profiles -
TPC Glossary -
TPC Acronyms -
Storm Names
Breakpoints
Hurricane History
NHC/TPC Archives -
Forecast Verification -
Climatology -
1492-1996 (Atlantic) -
1900-2000 (USA) -
Most Expensive -
Most Intense -
US Strikes by Decade -
US Strikes by State
About Us
About the TPC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
TPC Personnel -
NOAA Locator -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library -
WX4NHC Amateur Radio Station
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
Tropical Prediction Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: [an error occurred while processing this directive]