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Energy Information Administration Brochures

Release Date: September 2008
Next Release Date: September 2009

Cover for the International Energy Outlook 2008 brochure.
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International Energy
Outlook

2008

 

 

 

World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and
Non-OECD

This first figure shows the history and projections from 1980-2030 of the OECD and Non-OECD markets. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586-8800.

 

 

  • In the IEO2008 reference case, world energy consumption is projected to increase by 50 percent between 2005 and 2030, rising to 695 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu).
  • Non-OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) economies account for 81 percent of the world growth in energy; energy use in the non-OECD exceeds that of the OECD before 2010.
  • Non-OECD Asia (including China and India) provides 56 percent of the world’s increase in marketed energy use in the IEO2008 reference case.

World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD

This is a line graph figure showing the history and projections from 1980-2030 for world marketed energy use of liquids, coal, natural gas, renewables, and nuclear by the OECD and Non-OECD markets. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • Petroleum and other liquid fuels remain the dominant energy source worldwide through 2030, though high oil prices erode their share of total energy use from 37 percent in 2005 to 33 percent in 2030.
  • Renewables are the fastest-growing energy source, increasing by 2.1 percent per year over the projection period.
  • In the absence of policies that would limit its growth, coal expands strongly, by 2.0 percent per year.

 
 

This large table has data for world energy use by region for 2005 -2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

This is a small table showing the world energy use and carbon dioxide emissions by fuel from 2005-2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

Note: Totals may not equal sums because of independent rounding.
Source: 2005: Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2005 (June -October 2007), web
site; www.eia.doe.gov/iea/. Projections: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2008, DOE/EIA-0484(2008) (Washington, DC,September 2008).

 

Industrial Sector Energy Consumption by RegionThis figure is a vertical bar chart showing the industrial sector energy consumption by region for natural gas, liquids, and coal from 2005-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • World carbon dioxide emissions are projected to increase 51 percent in the IEO2008 reference case, growing from 28.1 billion metric tons in 2005 to 42.3 billion metric tons in 2030.
  • Coal remains the world’s largest contrbutor of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions throughout the projection, generating 44 percent of total world carbon dioxide emissions in 2030.
 

World Oil Consumption and Production by Region

This figure is also a vertical bar chart depicting world oil consumption and production by region for liquids, nuclear, renewables, natural gas, and coal. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • World net electricity generation grows by 92 percent in the IEO2008 reference case, from 17.3 trillion kilowatthours in 2005 to 33.3 trillion kilowatthours in 2030.
  • Coal and natural gas remain the most important fuels for electricity generation through 2030, fueling 83 percent of the total increase in world generation in the reference case.
 

World Oil Prices in Three Cases

This next figure is a line graph showing the world oil prices in three cases: high price, reference, and low price, with history and projections from 1980-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • In the IEO2008 reference case, world oil prices decline from current highs to about $70 per barrel in 2016 (on a nominal basis); then rise to $113 per barrel in 2030.
  • High and low world oil price cases define a substantial range of uncertainty. In 2030, prices range from $69 per barrel to $186 per barrel, and the corresponding use of liquids ranges from 122 million barrels per day to 99 million barrels per day.


World Liquids Production

This last figure in the brochure is a line graph showing world liquids production for Non-OPEC (conventional), OPEC (conventional) and Unconventional, from 2004-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

  • To meet the increase in world liquids demand in the reference case, total supply in 2030 is projected to be 28 million barrels per day higher than the 2005 level of 84 million barrels per day.
  • Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) conventional production contributes about 12 million barrels per day to the total increase in supply; non-OPEC conventional adds another 9 million barrels per day to the increase.
  • Unconventional resources (including bio-fuels, bitumen, coal-to-liquids, and gas-to-liquids) are expected to become increasingly competitive and account for 9 percent of total world liquids supply in 2030, on an oil equivalent basis.

 
 

Visit the Energy Analysis & Forecasting Web Site at:
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html

For further information, contact:
National Energy Information Center
Washington, DC
Telephone:(202)586-8800
E-Mail: infoctr@eia.doe.gov
Web Site:
www.eia.doe.gov