NOAA / NWS's Meteorological Development Laboratory
Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge
This is an experimental product.
This is an experimental product.
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NOAA / NWS's Meteorological Development Laboratory
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Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge This is an experimental product. |
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During the 2008 hurricane season NHC will be issuing "Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge > 5 feet" OPERATIONALLY on their website when a hurricane watch or warning is in effect.
This experimental graphic shows the overall chance that storm surges will be greater than 2 feet above normal tide levels during the next 3 days. The graphic is based upon an ensemble of Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model runs using the current National Hurricane Center (NHC) official hurricane advisory. Storm surge probabilities depend on the historical accuracy of NHCs forecasts of hurricane track, and wind speed, and an estimate of storm size.
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