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Climate of 2004 - October in Historical Perspective National Climatic Data Center 16 November 2004
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Global Analysis / Global Hazards / United States / U.S. Drought / Extremes
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access detailed analyses of Global and U.S. data.
Global Highlights:
- Based on preliminary data for October 2004, global average combined land and sea surface temperature was second warmest on record
- October temperatures were above average throughout Alaska, Australia, eastern Europe and the majority of the U.S., with below average temperatures in far northwestern Canada, eastern Russia and Ireland
- Precipitation during October was above average across the the United Kingdom, Japan, the Mississippi Valley and lower Great Plains of the U.S., with drier than average conditions in the southeastern U.S., Scandinavia and southeastern Asia
- Above normal SSTs across the central equatorial Pacific basin suggest ENSO is in a weak warm phase
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Contents of this Section:
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The data presented in this report are preliminary. Ranks and anomalies may change as more complete data are received and processed. The most current data may be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page.
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Introduction
The two maps below utilize different base periods and may reflect different anomaly values of land surface temperatures. The dot map on the left uses anomalies that were calculated from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) data set of land surface stations using a 1961-1990 base period. The map on the right is a blended product which uses satellite and surface anomaly values of measured land and ocean temperatures as well as SSTs with the base period of 1988-2004. Both maps reflect conditions during October 2004, indicating above average temperatures in northwestern Canada, east Africa, Australia, the southeastern U.S., Alaska and portions of Mongolia, with cooler than average temperatures in the northeastern U.S., the Caribbean, Argentina and eastern Russia.
The mean position of upper level ridges of high pressure and troughs of low pressure (depicted by positive and negative 500 millibar height anomalies on the October 2004 map) are generally reflected by areas of positive and negative temperature anomalies at the surface, respectively. For other Global products see the Climate Monitoring Global Products page.
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Temperature Rankings and Graphics
Current Month / Year-to-date
October |
Anomaly |
Rank |
Warmest Year on Record |
Global
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
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+1.05°C (+1.89°F) +0.47°C (+0.85°F) +0.64°C (+1.15°F)
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warmest 3rd warmest 2nd warmest
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2003 (+0.53°C/0.95°F) 2003 (+0.65°C/1.17°F)
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Northern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
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+1.01°C (+1.82°F) +0.56°C (+1.01°F) +0.74°C (+1.33°F)
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2nd warmest 2nd warmest 2nd warmest
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2003 (+1.04°C/1.87°F) 2003 (+0.62°C/1.12°F) 2003 (+0.79°C/1.42°F)
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Southern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
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+1.16°C (+2.10°F) +0.40°C (+0.72°F) +0.55°C (+1.00°F)
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warmest 7th warmest 2nd warmest |
1997 (+0.52°C/0.94°F) 1997 (+0.57°C/1.03°F)
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January-October |
Anomaly |
Rank |
Warmest Year on Record |
Global
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean |
+0.82°C (+1.48°F) +0.40°C (+0.72°F) +0.53°C (+0.95°F)
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4th warmest 4th warmest 4th warmest |
1998 (+1.04°C/1.87°F) 1998 (+0.49°C/0.88°F)
1998 (+0.65°C/1.17°F)
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Northern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
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+0.89°C (+1.60°F) +0.48°C (+0.86°F) +0.65°C (+1.17°F)
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3rd warmest 2nd warmest 2nd warmest
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1998 (+1.08°C/1.94°F) 1998 (+0.51°C/0.92°F) 1998 (+0.74°C/1.33°F)
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Southern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
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+0.53°C (+0.95°F) +0.36°C (+0.65°F) +0.39°C (+0.70°F)
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5th warmest 7th warmest 5th warmest
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1998 (+0.85°C/1.53°F) 1998 (+0.49°C/0.88°F) 1998 (+0.56°C/1.01°F)
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The most current data may be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page.
Precipitation
The maps below represent anomaly values based on the GHCN data set of land surface stations using a base period of 1961-1990. The map to the left is precipitation anomalies measured in millimeters, the map to the right is the percentage of average (1961-1990) precipitation. During October 2004, much above average precipitation fell across western Europe, Japan, Alaska, parts of Brazil and the central regions of the U.S. Below average precipitation was observed in the eastern U.S., Australia, Norway, the Korean Peninsula, Mexico and the Caribbean.
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The satellite images below were acquired from SSM/I satellite data using a base period of 1988-2004. The map on the left reflects surface liquid wetness conditions, while the map on the right reflects snow cover conditions for the month. Snow covered areas that are normally snow-free during this month will appear drier than average on the wetness image since a wetness value cannot be determined for regions that are snow covered. Data in these areas that are normally snow covered are displayed as missing. This is due to the snow crystalline structure which produces a considerable amount of scatter and makes it difficult for the SSM/I to accurately detect the surface conditions. The SSM/I products are experimental and are under continuing review and development. Additional data and information can be found on the SSM/I Browser.
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Images of sea surface temperature conditions are available for all months to date during 2004 at the weekly SST page
Troposphere
The table below summarizes mid-tropospheric conditions for October 2004. These temperatures are for the atmospheric layer centered in the mid-troposphere (approximately 2-6 miles above the Earth's surface) which also includes a portion of the lower stratosphere. (The MSU channel used to measure mid-tropospheric temperatures receives about 25 percent of its signal above 6 miles.) Analysis of the satellite record that began in 1979 indicates that global temperatures are increasing in the mid-troposphere, but the magnitude of the trend differs based on the analysis methods used in adjusting for factors such as orbital decay and inter-satellite differences. The 1979-2004 trend for October is 0.07°C/decade based on data from the University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH). Based on data provided by Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) the trend for October is 0.16°C/decade. The base period used in both data sets is 1979-1998.
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October |
Anomaly |
Rank |
Warmest Year on Record |
UAH mid-troposphere
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+0.17°C (0.31°F)
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5th warmest
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1998 (+0.36°C/0.65°F)
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RSS mid-troposphere
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+0.34°C (+0.61°F)
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3rd warmest |
1998 (+0.43°C/0.77°F)
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