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The Partly Cloudy Electorate

A new poll from ABC News and a focus group of newly-minted Democratic voters suggest President-elect Barack Obama will enter office with a base of supporters who are not expecting a miraculous economic recovery, approve of the decisions he has made so far and trust him to lead the nation out of its financial crisis. (Nov. 25)

Behind The Numbers >

A look inside the data that helps define political activity and debates.

The Partly Cloudy Electorate
Voters' Vantage Point: SCOTUS
Voters' Vantage Point: The Economy

Tracking Poll>

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today, for whom would you vote? (Among likely voters)
[Graph]

Highlights

60%

of moderates voted for Obama, the highest proportion a Democrat has won in modern exit polling.

54%

of veterans voted for McCain.

NOTE: Movable voters are those who said they could change their minds or have yet to select a candidate.
SOURCE: This Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll is a four-night rolling average of telephone interviews with a random national sample of approximately 1,900 likely voters. Interviews are conducted on landline and cellular telephones. The poll started on Oct. 16 and runs through Nov. 3. The results from the full poll have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Error margins for subgroups are larger.

Campaign 2008: Exit Polls >

Ideological Shift or Just Complicated?

The 2008 electorate was unquestionably a more Democratic group than had shown up at the polls in years, but does that change mean the nation's political views have shifted leftward?(Nov. 13)

Q. Which comes closer to your view, government should do more to solve problems or government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals?

[Chart]

SOURCE: National Election Pool exit poll conducted by Edison/Mitofsky.

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Obama's White House Transition

Barack Obama will make his first trip to Washington as president-elect at the invitation of President Bush. Obama has begun to create his new administration. Jim Axelrod has more.

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McCain Makes Significant Gains in Key Battleground States (By Chris Cillizza, July 24, 2008 10:00 a.m.)
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