Table 2. Number Needed to Screen for Type 2 Diabetes to Prevent 1 Adverse Event after 5 Years of Additional Treatmenta
Prevalence of Undiagnosed Disease |
Patient Population |
Tight Glycemic Control to Prevent 1 Case
of Blindness in 1 Eye (Screening 1000 People with Given Prevalence) |
Tight Blood Pressure Control to Prevent 1 CVD Event (Screening 1000 Hypertensive People with Given Prevalence) |
Increase in Persons with Tight Glycemic Control, % |
Cases of Blindness Averted, nb |
NNS |
Increase in Persons with Tight Blood Pressure Control, % |
CVD Events Averted, nc |
NNS |
2.8% |
Standardized prevalence in U.S.c |
50 |
0.06 |
16,420 |
50 |
0.53 |
1,905 |
90 |
0.11 |
9,122 |
90 |
0.95 |
1,058 |
3.6% |
Standardized prevalence in U.S. non-Hispanic black personsc |
50 |
0.08 |
12,771 |
50 |
0.68 |
1,481 |
90 |
0.14 |
7,095 |
90 |
1.22 |
823 |
6.0% |
Prevalence estimated for previous review |
50 |
0.13 |
7,663 |
50 |
1.13 |
889 |
90 |
0.23 |
4,257 |
90 |
2.03 |
494 |
a CVD = cardiovascular disease; NNS = number needed to screen.
b Relative risk reduction, 0.29 over 5 years; rate of blindness in no-treatment group, 1.5% over 5 years. Data on incidence of retinal photocoagulation in 1 eye from the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study.62
c Relative risk reduction of 0.50 over 5 years; 5-year incidence in usual treatment group, 7.5%. Data from the Hypertension Optimal Treatment trial.66
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