Table 3: Yield of Screening in a Hypothetical Cohort of 10,000 Newborns for Moderate-to-Profound PCHL
Relevant Factors |
Proportions or Rates |
Hypothetical Model |
UNHS |
High-Risk Screening* |
Assumptions |
Proportion high risk15 |
0.0800 |
- |
- |
Prevalence1 |
- |
- |
- |
High-risk group |
0.0800 |
- |
- |
Average risk group |
0.0800 |
- |
- |
Miss rate for UNHS (proportion not screened in hospital; estimate) |
- |
- |
- |
In high risk |
0.0500 |
- |
- |
In average risk |
0.0500 |
- |
- |
Follow-up rate for misses |
0.9000 |
- |
- |
Miss rate for high-risk screening66 |
0.2300 |
- |
- |
Follow-up rate for misses |
0.0000 |
- |
- |
Sensitivity of 2-stage screening15 |
0.9200 |
- |
- |
Specificity of 2-stage screening15 |
0.9900 |
- |
- |
Compliance with follow-up (estimate) |
0.9000 |
- |
- |
Accuracy of diagnostic ABR1 |
- |
- |
- |
Sensitivity |
1.0000 |
- |
- |
Specificity |
0.9950 |
- |
- |
Proportion of average-risk diagnosed by 3 mo without screening (estimate) |
0.1000 |
- |
- |
Results |
Target group for screening |
- |
10,000 |
800 |
No. of infants screened |
- |
9500 |
616 |
High risk |
- |
760 |
616 |
Average risk |
- |
8740 |
0 |
High-risk cases in screened group |
- |
6 |
5 |
Average risk cases in screened group |
- |
7 |
0 |
Cases diagnosed by 3 mo |
- |
11 to 12 |
4 to 5 |
High-risk cases missed by screening |
- |
< 1 |
1 to 2 |
Average risk cases missed by screening |
- |
< 1 |
7 |
Total no. of cases |
- |
13 |
13 |
False-positive screening test results |
- |
86 |
6 |
Normal infants incorrectly diagnosed to have PCHL at first posthospital audiologic examination |
- |
< 1 |
< 1 |
NNS to diagnose 1 case |
- |
878 |
178 |
NNS to diagnose 1 additional case by 3 mo |
- |
1333 |
NA |
NA indicates not applicable
*High risk was defined by risk factors (family history of hearing impairment, perinatal infection, low birth weight, anatomical deformity, birth asphyxia, chromosomal abnormality, and exchange transfusion).
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