000
FXUS65 KLKN 202300
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
400 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT...TAKING
LINGERING SHOWERS WITH IT. SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE ON THE COOL
SIDE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK DURING THE WEEK...BRINGING
WARMER TEMPERATURES TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED TROF
WILL LIFT NORTHEAST INTO IDAHO AND UTAH TONIGHT. A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS MAY LINGER EXTREME NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY TIL SUNSET. A
STROKE OR TWO OF LIGHTNING CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. TRAILING SPOKE OF
ENERGY WILL ROTATING THRU SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR TWO EXTREME NORTH. A ZONAL FLOW WILL SET UP MONDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN SOUTH. SUNDAY NIGHT WILL SEE A FEW VALLEY
TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING. REA

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER
SOUTHERN ARIZONA...CALIFORNIA...AND NEW MEXICO BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH
ZONAL FLOW OVER NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS PATTERN WILL LAST THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR THE CWA IS A DRY AIRMASS
IN PLACE WITH DECENT FLOW ALOFT...WHICH WILL HINDER RADIATIONAL
COOLING AND KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEK. ANY
WEAKENING IN THE FLOW WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MORE
EFFECTIVE AND COULD COOL SLIGHTLY MORE THEN FORECAST...ANY
STRONGER FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS A LITTLE WARMER. HAVE OPTED TO GO IN
BETWEEN. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ALL WEEK...ONLY ESTIMATING UP TO 10
PERCENT CLOUD COVERAGE...ACROSS THE REGION...HAVE REDUCED MOST POPS
TO ZERO. ALL IN ALL IT SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER WISE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THIS
WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA. MOSTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER THERE MAYBE SOME ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF ELKO
COUNTY THAT MAY REDUCE CEILINGS AND/OR VISIBILITIES TO BELOW VFR
CONDITIONS. ALSO...PILOTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE AWARE OF ANY
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT MAY OCCUR DUE TO THESE STORMS. AS THE LOW
MOVES OUT...SOME GUSTY CONDITIONS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND LIGHT AIRCRAFT SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS AND ENSURE
ANY CROSSWINDS DO NOT EXCEED MAX RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THEIR
AIRCRAFT.&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT...
TAKING LINGERING SHOWERS WITH IT. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY LINGER
EXTREME NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY TIL SUNSET. A STROKE OR TWO OF LIGHTNING
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH NEVADA SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING
ISOLATED SHOWERS EXTREME NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY...WITH A RETURN OF WARM TEMPERATURES FOR THE PERIOD
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE BREEZY
SIDE...OUT OF THE WEST...FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...AND MODERATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. REA &&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

$$