FXUS62 KMFL 201129 AFDMFL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 729 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2008 .AVIATION...A FEW SHRA CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC AND THEN MOVE ONSHORE IN THE LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW. THUS, HAVE PLACE VCSH IN ALL E CST TAFS ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS VERY ISOLD IN NATURE. SCT TSRA ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFT 14Z WITH VCTS IN THE E TERMINALS AS A RESULT. E FLOW HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT NONE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A W CST SEA BREEZE FROM DEVELOPING SO HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN THE KAPF TAF BUT WILL EXAMINE THIS AGAIN PRIOR TO THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. 30/KOB && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 407 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2008/ EXTENDED PERIOD...TUE THROUGH FRI...S FLA REMAINS IN THE COL BETWEEN THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE AND THE ATLC RIDGE. THUS SOME UPPER INSTABILITY WITH AMPLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE COMBINE TO KEEP S FLA IN A SITUATION OF MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTERIOR AND W WITH MAINLY E COAST NOCTURNAL ACTIVITY. MARINE...NE/E WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET TODAY THROUGH SUN NGT. SEAS 4 FEET OR LESS EXCEPT SEAS TO 5 FEET OFF OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AS 2 TO 3 FOOT SWELLS GENERATED BY THE LOW PRES E OF JAX IMPACT THE LOCAL AREA WATERS. WAVES AND SWELLS DECREASE MON. FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS WITH RH REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 88 78 89 76 / 30 30 50 30 FORT LAUDERDALE 89 80 88 77 / 30 30 40 30 MIAMI 89 78 89 77 / 30 30 40 30 NAPLES 90 74 91 74 / 30 20 50 30 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$