| Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output | |
| Proceedings of the 4th International Conference onSensitivity Analysis of Model Output (SAMO 2004)Santa Fe, New Mexico, March 8-11, 2004. | |
| Edited by Kenneth M. Hanson and François M. Hemez | |
| The theme of the SAMO conference series has been the study of the variation in the output of a model caused by variations in inputs variables, parameters, and factors related to numerical-solution methods. Especially highlighted at this meeting was the importance of the quantification of the total uncertainty in model prediction. | |
| These web pages constitute the full proceedings, which are available in a single file (519 pages, 12.5MB): Full Text: PDF | |
| The conference web pages, which include photos taken during the conference, are maintained by the Statistical Sciences Group. (http://www.stat.lanl.gov/SAMO2004/) | |
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| ForwardFull Text: PDF | |
| ParticipantsFull Text: PDF | |
| Input Screening: Finding the Important Inputs on a Budget (Tutorial)Max D. Morrispp. 1-6Full Text: PDF | |
| The Evaluation of Combustion Mechanisms Using Local and Global Sensitivity and Uncertainty MethodsAlison S. Tomlinpp. 7-16Full Text: PDF | |
| Application of MCMC - Global Sensitivity Analysis for Model Calibration to Urban Runoff ModelingAssem Kanso; B. Tassin, G. Chebbopp. 17-26Full Text: PDF | |
| Global Sensitivity Analysis: An Introduction (Tutorial)Andrea Saltellipp. 27-43Full Text: PDF | |
| Sensitivity Analysis of the e-Business Readiness Composite IndicatorS. Tarantola, M. Nardo, A. Saltelli, I. Kioutsioukis, R. Liskapp. 44-53Full Text: PDF | |
| Sensitivity Indices for Imprecise Probability DistributionsJim W. Hallpp. 54-60Full Text: PDF | |
| Accelerated Estimation of Sensitivity Indices Using State Dependent Parameter ModelsMarco Ratto, Stefano Tarantola, Andrea Saltelli and Peter C. Youngpp. 61-70Full Text: PDF | |
| Sensitivity Analysis of Monte Carlo Estimates from Computer Models in the Presence of Epistemic and Aleatory UncertaintiesBernard Krzykacz-Hausmannpp. 71-80Full Text: PDF | |
| Sensitivity Analysis When Model Outputs Are Functions (Tutorial)Michael D. McKay, Katherine S. Campbell, Brian J. Williamspp.81-89LA-UR-04-0167Full Text: PDF | |
| Decision-theoretic Sensitivity Analysis Using Value of InformationJeremy Oakleypp. 90-95Full Text: PDF | |
| A Second-order Differential Importance Measure for Reliability and Risk ApplicationsEnrico Zio, Luca Podofillinipp. 96-105Full Text: PDF | |
| A Response-Modeling Alternative to Surrogate Models for Support in Computational AnalysesBrian Rutherfordpp. 106-115SAND-2004-0254CFull Text: PDF | |
| Local Analysis of Parameter Covariances Resulting From the Calibration of an Over-parameterized Water Quality ModelUlrich Callies, M. Scharfepp. 116-125Full Text: PDF | |
| Inference About the Plastic Behavior of Materials From Experimental DataKenneth M. Hansonpp. 126-136LA-UR-04-0304Full Text: PDF | |
| Comments on GLUERenata Romanowicz, Keith Bevenpp. 137-146Full Text: PDF | |
| A Bayesian Analysis of Complex Dynamic Computer ModelsStefano Conti, Clive W. Anderson, Marc C. Kennedy, Anthony O'Haganpp. 147-156Full Text: PDF | |
| Validation and Error Estimation of Computational ModelsRamesh Rebba, Sankaran Mahadevan, Shuping Huangpp. 157-169Full Text: PDF | |
| Probabilistic Inversion for Chicken Processing Lines (Tutorial)Roger M. Cooke, Maarten Nauta, Arie H. Havelaar, Ine van der Felspp. 170-180Full Text: PDF | |
| The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly of Predictive ScienceFran�ois M. Hemez; Yakov Ben-Haimpp. 181-193LA-UR-03-8492Full Text: PDF | |
| Our Calibrated Model Has no Predictive Value: An Example From the Petroleum IndustryJonathan N. Carter, P. J. Ballester, Z. Tavassoli, P. R. Kingpp. 194-200Full Text: PDF | |
| Towards Guidance in Assessing and Communicating UncertaintiesPeter H.M. Janssen, Arthur C. Petersen; Jeroen van der Sluijs;James S. Risbey; Jerome R. Ravetzpp. 201-210Full Text: PDF | |
| Probability Bounds Analysis is a Global Sensitivity AnalysisScott Ferson, J. Hajagos, W.T. Tuckerpp. 211-220Full Text: PDF | |
| Sampling-Based Methods for Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis (Tutorial)Jon C. Heltonpp. 221-229Full Text: PDF | |
| Estimation Procedures and Error Analysis for Inferring the Total Plutonium Produced by a Graphite-moderated ReactorPatrick G. Heasler, Bruce Reid, Christopher Gesh;Tom Burr; Charles Baynepp. 230-239PNNL-14332Full Text: PDF | |
| Hydrocarbon Exploration Risk Evaluation Through Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses TechniquesPaolo Ruffo, Livia Bazzana, Alberto Consonni, Anna Corradi, Andrea Saltelli, Stefano Tarantolapp. 240-249Full Text: PDF | |
| Model Validation in Chemical Process with Multiple Steady StatesCarlos M. Villa, Jean-Paul Masy, Flor A. Castillo, Leigh H. Thompson, John W. Westonpp. 250-259Full Text: PDF | |
| Response Surfaces and Sensitivity Analyses for an Environmental Model of Dose CalculationsBertrand Iooss, Nicolas Devictor, Fran�ois Van Dorpepp. 260-269Full Text: PDF | |
| Simulation Error Models for Improved Reservoir PredictionAlannah O'Sullivan, Mike Christiepp. 270-287Full Text: PDF | |
| Local and Global Uncertainty Analysis of Complex Chemical Kinetic SystemsJudit Z�dor, Istv�n Gyula Zs�ly, Tam�s Tur�nyipp. 288-296Full Text: PDF | |
| Techniques for Quality Assurance of Models in a Multi-Run Simulation EnvironmentMichael Flechsig, U. B�hm, Th. Nocke, C. Rachimowpp. 297-306Full Text: PDF | |
| Global Sensitivity Analysis for Calculating the Contribution of Genetic Parameters to the Variance of Crop Model PredictionDavid Makowski, C�dric Naud, Herv� Monod, Marie-H�l�ne Jeuffroy, Aude Barbottinpp. 307-316Full Text: PDF | |
| Sensitivity Analysis in Presence of Model Uncertainty and Correlated InputsJulien Jacques; Christian Lavergne; Nicolas Devictorpp. 317-323Full Text: PDF | |
| Varying Correlation Coefficients Cannot Account for Uncertainty About Dependence, but There Are Comprehensive Methods to Do SoScott Fersonpp. 324-328Full Text: PDF | |
| Application of a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Calibration and Uncertainty Framework to a Process-based Integrated Nitrogen Model (INCA)Bethanna M. Jackson, H. S. Wheater, N. McIntyre; P. Whiteheadpp. 329-340Full Text: PDF | |
| Validating Mathematical Models of Biological Systems: Application of the Concordance Correlation CoefficientNormand R. St-Pierrepp. 341-350Full Text: PDF | |
| On a Strategy of Reduction of the Lack of Knowledge in Model ValidationPierre Ladev�ze; G. Puel; T. Romeufpp. 351-362Full Text: PDF | |
| Modeling Uncertainty in Population Biology: How the Model is Written Does MatterJanos G. Hajagospp. 363-368Full Text: PDF | |
| Enhancing the Morris MethodFrancesca Campolongo, J. Cariboni, A. Saltelli; W. Schoutenspp. 369-379Full Text: PDF | |
| Initial Evaluation of Pure and "Latinized" Centroidal Voronoi Tessellation for Non-Uniform Statistical SamplingVicente J. Romero; John V. Burkardt, Max D. Gunzburger, Janet S. Petersonpp. 380-401Full Text: PDF | |
| MCMC-based Sensitivity EstimationsCarlos Javier P�rez S�nchez, Jacinto Mart�n Jim�nezpp. 402-409Full Text: PDF | |
| Sensitivity Analysis in Conjunction with Evidence Theory Representations of Epistemic UncertaintyJon C. Helton, J. D. Johnson, W. L. Oberkampfpp. 410-420Full Text: PDF | |
| Combined Array Experiment DesignLeslie M. Moore, Michael D. McKay, Katherine S. Campbellpp. 421-429LA-UR-04-0374Full Text: PDF | |
| Halftoning and Quasi-Monte CarloKenneth M. Hansonpp. 430-442LA-UR-04-0306Full Text: PDF | |
| Model Validation Methods for Phase Diagram DeterminationBrian J. Reardon, Marius Stanpp. 443-452LA-UR-04-0360Full Text: PDF | |
| Approximate Representations of Random Intervals for Hybrid Uncertainty Quantification in Engineering ModelingCliff Joslyn; Scott Fersonpp. 453-469LA-UR-04-0908Full Text: PDF | |
| Designing Computer Experiments to Determine Robust Control VariablesJeffrey S. Lehman; Thomas J. Santner, William I. Notz; Donald Bartelpp. 470-472Full Text: PDF | |
| ASSA: Algorithms for Stochastic Sensitivity AnalysisMichiel J.W. Jansenpp. 473-475Full Text: PDF | |
| Case Studies in Gaussian Process Modelling of Computer CodesMarc C. Kennedy, Clive W. Anderson, Stefano Conti, Anthony O'Haganpp. 476-485Full Text: PDF | |
| Nonparametric Prior ElicitationJeremy Oakley, Anthony O'Haganpp. 486-491Full Text: PDF | |
| Stochastic Sensitivity Analysis for Computing GreeksM. Kodal K. Ohmori, D. Yokomatsu, T. Amemiyapp. 492-499Full Text: PDF | |
