Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
257 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
NMZ001>021-026-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
257 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THESE STRONGER STORMS WILL GENERALLY
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS.
HOWEVER...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL
TO SIZE OF PENNIES AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH CANNOT
BE RULED OUT...PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IF SEVERE WEATHER IS
OBSERVED...PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1-888-386-7637.
$$
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
300 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-201100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
300 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.
.DAY ONE...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
ANDRADE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1243 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-201745-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1243 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008 /1143 AM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
FLOODING ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER CONTINUES FROM PRESIDIO TO
JOHNSON RANCH DUE TO WATER RELEASES FROM LUIS LEON RESERVOIR IN
MEXICO. SOME LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIVER REMAIN ABOVE RECORD FLOOD
STAGE...WITH LEVELS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. HIGHWAY 170 REMAINS CLOSED TO TRAFFIC AND THERE ARE
LIKELY OTHER COUNTY ROADS THAT ARE IMPASSABLE. TRAVELERS IN THIS
AREA ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND AVOID LOCATIONS WHERE WATER
MAY BE OVER THE ROADWAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
RIVER FLOODING ALONG THE RIO GRANDE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1115 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVENT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY SEP 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...ZERO PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MAY DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MOVE
INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
AND MOVES INTO THE AREA. OTHERWISE... DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PATCHY DENSE FOG MAY FORM NEAR AND ALONG RIVER AND CREEK BEDS BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ANY FOG THAT FORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY
MID MORNING.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7AM
SATURDAY.
$$
SIX
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
859 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
TXZ021-022-200315-
PARMER-CASTRO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART
859 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
THROUGH 1015 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE.
OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH
MAY OCCUR OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PARMER AND CASTRO COUNTIES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
853 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-200300-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMARILLO...BEAVER...BOISE CITY...BOOKER...
BORGER...CANADIAN...CANYON...CLARENDON...CLAUDE...DALHART...DUMAS...
GUYMON...HARTLEY...HEREFORD...MIAMI...PAMPA...PANHANDLE...PERRYTON...
SHAMROCK...SPEARMAN...STRATFORD...VEGA...WELLINGTON
853 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE
IMPACTED THROUGH 10 PM INCLUDE CHANNING...VEGA...HEREFORD...AND
BUSHLAND.
$$
SJOHNSON
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
745 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
NMZ002>005-009>011-200400-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...CHAMA/LOS ALAMOS...
ESPANOLA...LAS VEGAS/RATON...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...SANTA FE/TAOS/RED RIVER
745 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT EAST SLOPES. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH. STRONGER CELLS
WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...A BRIEF SHOWER AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. THROUGH 1000 PM...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
WILL FAVOR SOUTHERN SLOPES OF THE JEMEZ AND SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
745 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
NMZ012-013-018>021-200400-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
DE BACA COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES...
ROSWELL...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
745 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE TO
ISOLATED ACROSS NEW MEXICOS EASTERN PLAINS AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT
SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 20 MPH. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAIN AT RATES UP TO ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR
WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES. THROUGH 1000 PM...MOST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL FAVOR CURRY COUNTY.
$$
44
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
745 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
NMZ016-017-026-200400-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...RUIDOSO
745 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE TO ISOLATED
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 20 MPH. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WITH SMALL
HAIL...A HEAVY DOWNPOUR WITH RAIN RATES UP TO ONE HALF INCH PER
HOUR...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THROUGH 1000 PM...
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FAVOR THE VICINITY OF CORONA...
ANCHO...RUIDOSO...GLENCOE....ENCINOSO AND ARABELA.
$$
