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Drought Information for Central Alabama

Updated Sep 11, 2008

Synopsis...

U.S. Drought Monitor

Some scattered rain fell across Central Alabama during the past two weeks...but did little to change the drought conditions across the area. The latest U.S. Drought Monitor continues to indicate moderate drought conditions exist in Northeast Marion and Northern Winston County...and also north of a line from Blountsville to Steele to Ranburne in Northeast Alabama. The remaining areas in Central Alabama are now normal to abnormally dry.

The Drought Monitor classifies drought within one of these five categories:

D0...Abnormally Dry
D1...Moderate Drought
D2...Severe Drought
D3...Extreme Drought
D4...Exceptional Drought

Rainfall has been more scattered and not as heavy since Tropical Storm Fay and its effects exited the state. So far this month rainfall has varied from a little over an inch in some locations to virtually none in other areas. For the year...rainfall is averaging from thirty three to forty eight inches...with the lowest amounts generally found in west central sections. Normal rainfall for September averages between three and one quarter to four and one quarter inches.

High temperatures the past several days have been averaging near normal values for this time of the year...generally in the upper 80s to around 90. .

(For up to the most recent climate report...click on the city.)

Some precipitation amounts for Central Alabama from January 1st through August 27th:

Birmingham
43.91
Montgomery
39.63
Anniston
38.36
Tuscaloosa
33.53
Calera
48.33
Troy
36.42

Average precipitation expected and departure from normal from January 1st through August 27th:

Birmingham
38.95
+4.96
Montgomery
39.91
-0.28
Anniston
38.55
-0.19
Tuscaloosa
41.59
-8.06

Hydrologic Impacts...

Lawn & Garden IndexCrop Moisture Index
Crop
% Poor or Worse
% Fair or Better
Corn
33
67
Cotton
15
85
Peanut
3
97
Soybean
28
72
Livestock
13
87
Pasture
20
80
Top soil moisture profiles have improved following our recent rainfall. Only nineteen percent of soils are now indicated as being dry or very dry. Although sub soil moistures may have benefited slightly from the recent rainfall...deficits still exist as evidenced by some farm ponds beginning to dry up once again as less rainfall occurred over the area.

The USDA states that the condition of some row crops has shown some improvement following recent rainfall The rainfall has helped the peanut and cotton crops...and livestock have shown some slight improvement as pasture conditions have improved a little. The latest reports from the USDA are to the right.

 

 

Keetch-Byram Drought Indices (KBDI)

Fire Danger Impacts...

Generally speaking...the fire danger risk across Central Alabama has increased a little due to the recent fairly dry conditions. Keetch-Byram Drought Indices (KBDI) generally range from 250 to 500 with localized higher values. Values above 500 indicate a severe fire danger.

The Alabama Forestry Commission reports that no counties are currently under a Fire Alert.

 

USGS Daily Streamflow Conditions

 

Hydrologic Summary and Outlook...

Most stream flows reported by USGS gages remain near normal or above normal. Periodic rainfall would help maintain near normal stream flows across Central Alabama.

Most reservoirs have leveled off or fallen a little during the past week. Listed below are today`s levels for some of the major reservoirs across Central Alabama and their levels immediately following Tropical Storm Fay:

Reservoir
Level for 09/11/2008
Level for 08/28/2008
Weiss
562.9
563.5
Neely Henry
507.4
507.3
Logan Martin
464.4
464.7
Lay
395.7
396.1
Mitchell
311.7
311.9
Jordan
251.4
251.4
R.L. Harris
790.3
791.0
Martin
488.6
488.9
Smith
499.3
500.8
Bankhead
254.6
254.7
Holt
186.2
186.1

Social Impacts...

Area reservoirs have leveled off or begun to fall slowly again following the rises that occurred in association with Tropical Storm Fay. However...the threat of municipal water shortages has eased as we head into September and toward cooler fall weather. Recent rainfall has also been beneficial to lawns and gardens...increasing top soil moistures for plants and vegetation.


Seasonal Drought OutlookOutlook...

A moist southeasterly flow to the north and east of Hurricane Ike will support scattered mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms across Central Alabama through Friday. High pressure aloft will build across the area over the weekend as Hurricane Ike moves northwest into Northeast Texas and this will help to suppress shower activity across the area. However...a weak front is forecast to move into the area early next week...but at this time only small chances for rain are expected with this weather system. But...better chances for rainfall could materialize if the remnants of Ike become absorbed into the frontal system and impact Alabama more than is currently expected.

The two week outlook...from September 18th through September 24th... calls for below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation chances.

The longer-range outlook for the remainder of September through November is for equal chances of above normal or below normal temperatures and equal chances of above normal or below normal precipitation chances.

The latest seasonal drought outlook indicates some improvement of drought conditions in the northern portions of Central Alabama.

Update Statement...

The next drought information statement will be issued around September 25th...or earlier if significant changes in the current drought situation occur.


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Date modified:September 12, 2008
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