Sep 16, 2008 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Sep 16 07:27:42 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20080916 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 160724
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0224 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FCST...
   LEAD WAVE EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN W ON WEDNESDAY WILL
   WEAKEN FURTHER ON THURSDAY AS IT MINORS OUT ACROSS THE CANADIAN
   ROCKIES.  A COLD FRONT...TIED TO A STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGGED
   TO MOVE THROUGH SRN CANADA...WILL SETTLE SEWD INTO PARTS OF THE NRN
   PLNS BY THURSDAY EVENING.  DESPITE THE POSSIBILITY FOR WEAK LARGE
   SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF THE CANADIAN WAVE
   SPREADING ACROSS THE NRN PLNS...SCANT MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN IS
   EXPECTED TO LIMIT CHANCES FOR TSTMS ALONG THE FRONT.  FARTHER W...A
   STRONGER UPR LOW...LOCATED VCNTY 44N154W AT 07Z...WILL ARRIVE ALONG
   THE PAC NW CST THURSDAY AFTN WITH SHOWERS.
   
   MEANWHILE...TO THE EAST...WEAK UPR TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS WILL REMAIN
   ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD.  PRIMARY FRONT AND SEABREEZES ARE EXPECTED
   TO ONCE AGAIN ENHANCE SCTD TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN FL ON THURSDAY
   ALONG FAR SRN REACHES OF THE TROUGH.  WHILE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL
   HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE STRONGEST OF STORMS...WIDESPREAD SVR
   WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..RACY.. 09/16/2008
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z