ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-ILZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/14/08 1555Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1545Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...OHIO...MICHIGAN...INDIANA...WISCONSIN...
LOCATION...ILLINOIS...
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ATTN WFOS...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...IND...PAH...LOT...
ATTN WFOS...ILX...MKX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...SPIRLING BAND INTO THE NORTH/NW SIDE OF IKE...FOR ADDITIONAL
HVY RAIN IL/IN INTO MI AND FAR N OHIO...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST BLENDED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
LOOP AT:  http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/gpstpw SHOWED MOIST PLUME
ASSOCIATED WITH IKE HAD FUSED INTO LEFTOVER HIGH MOISTURE FROM LOWELL
ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM IL/IN THRU MI/N OH.  CENTER OF DEEPEST
MOISTURE CENTRAL/E CENTRAL IL THRU NORTHERN HALF OF INDIANA...S MI AND
FAR NORTHERN OHIO...SO AREAS CLOSE TO THE CENTER OF PLUME AND JUST NORTH
VULNERABLE FOR DEFORMATION FORCING AND INTERACTION WITH GOOD MOISTURE
TRANSPORT IN THE NORTH AND NW QUAD OF NOW GALLOPING IKE ACROSS S IL.
ALTHOUGH RAIN RATES WILL NOT BE AS HIGH AS THOSE CLOSE TO THE CENTER OF
IKE...LONGER TIME OF MODERATE TO HVY RAIN AND ON TOP OF EXCESSIVE RAINS
FROM REMAINS OF LOWELL MOISTURE YESTERDAY...MAKES
NE ILLINOIS...ESPECIALLY THE CHICAGO AREA AND N THIRD OF INDIANA
VULNERABLE THRU AT LEAST MID AFTERNOON TO HEIGHTEN FLOODING...AND
S LOWER MI/CLOSE TO FAR N OHIO FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  IN THESE
AREAS GENERAL HRLY RAIN RATES CAN RANGE FROM 0.5" TO AN ISOLATED
1.5"...BUT THE PERSISTENCE OF THE CONVECTIVE BANDS SPIRLING INTO THE
DEFORMATION ZONE AND INTERACTING WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND LEFTOVER
DEEP MOISTURE FROM LOWELL WILL BE WHERE THE HIGHEST AMOUNT OF RAIN AND
HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
SATELLITE RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE 24HR PERIOD ENDING 12Z THIS MORNING
SHOWING A MAX 6-7 INCHES IN S CENTRAL MI WILL BE ON THE INTERNET AT THE
ADDRESS BELOW SHORTLY ALONG WITH A 6HR RAINFALL GRAPHIC THRU 1530Z...ALSO
A SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE IN THE INTERNET AS WELL
IN THE NEXT 15 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4414 8173 4149 8288 3819 8798 4203 8846 4363 8612
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NNNN
 
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