ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/14/08 1058Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1045Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...INDIANA...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN ALONG IKE'S PATH
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IKE HAS A WELL DEFINED STLT SIGNATURE
WITH COLDEST CLD TOPS WRAPPED TIGHTLY ARND SFC CENTER. HEAVIEST RAIN
FALLING IN AN ARC FROM THE OZARKS IN SW MO INTO E CENTRAL MO FROM
WRN OZARK AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES THRU TEXAS AND INTO THE SRN KSTL METRO
AREA. FNTL BOUNDARY CONTS TO PROVIDE EXCELLENT FOCUS FOR ENHANCED LIFT
AND WITH CIRC CENTER TRACKING RIGHT ALG FNTL BOUNDARY THIS IS MAXIMIZING
LIFT AND RAIN RATES. EXTRAPOLATING CURRENT TRENDS WOULD BRING SWATH OF
HEAVIEST RAIN INTO E CENTRAL MO (KSTL METRO TO JEFFERSON AND ST GENEVIEV)
AND INTO SRN AND CENTRAL IL (INVOF FAYETTE COUNTY).
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AUTO STLT ESTS FOR PREVIOUS 6 HRS WERE SHOWING BROAD AREA OF 2-4" FROM
SW MO INTO CENTRAL MO WITH MAX AMNTS OF 4-6" OVER SW MO. WITH IKE NOW
ACCELERATING EXPECT THAT 6 HR RAINFALL TOTALS GOING FORWARD WILL BE
SOMEWHAT LESS..BUT GENERAL 2-3" AMNTS APPEAR LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED 4"
AMNTS PSBL.
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QUICK LOOK AT 1045Z IMAGE SHOWS AREA OF HEAVY RAIN JUST E OF CIRC CENTER
CONTS TO HAVE COOLING CLD TOPS OVER CARTER COUNTY. WHILE THIS AREA IS
MOVING QUICKLY IT WILL BRING A QUICK SHOT OF VERY HEAVY RAIN AS IT TRACKS
INTO SE MO.
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GRAPHIC OF 6 HOUR RAINFALL ESTS WILL BE POSTED ON THE WEB AT ADDRESS
BELOW SHORTLY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4007 8834 3899 8755 3648 9089 3729 9296
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