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Hurricane KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.2N 85.1W 46 X X X 46 PENSACOLA FL X 1 7 9 17
25.8N 86.4W 24 4 X X 28 MOBILE AL X X 6 10 16
26.9N 87.7W 2 15 4 1 22 GULFPORT MS X X 5 11 16
MUHA 230N 824W 1 1 X X 2 BURAS LA X X 8 9 17
MUAN 219N 850W 1 1 X X 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 4 11 15
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 1 2 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 11 12
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 3 4 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 5 6 GALVESTON TX X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 4 4
KEY WEST FL 99 X X X 99 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MARCO ISLAND FL 45 X X X 45 GULF 29N 85W 3 9 4 2 18
FT MYERS FL 19 1 X X 20 GULF 29N 87W X 8 8 4 20
VENICE FL 12 2 X 1 15 GULF 28N 89W X 4 11 4 19
TAMPA FL 3 4 2 2 11 GULF 28N 91W X X 6 8 14
CEDAR KEY FL 1 4 4 3 12 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 8 9
ST MARKS FL X 3 5 5 13 GULF 28N 95W X X X 4 4
APALACHICOLA FL X 6 6 5 17 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2
PANAMA CITY FL X 4 8 5 17
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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