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Tropical Storm KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 79.5W 55 X X X 55 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
26.0N 80.5W 30 1 X 1 32 KEY WEST FL 4 9 2 2 17
26.3N 81.5W 14 9 1 1 25 MARCO ISLAND FL 11 10 1 2 24
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 1 2 FT MYERS FL 8 11 3 1 23
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 1 2 VENICE FL 1 12 5 3 21
MUHA 230N 824W X 3 2 2 7 TAMPA FL 1 8 6 4 19
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 7 8 16
MYAK 241N 776W 1 X 1 2 4 ST MARKS FL X X 1 10 11
MYNN 251N 775W 99 X X X 99 APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 10 11
MYGF 266N 787W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 9 9
MARATHON FL 11 6 1 1 19 PENSACOLA FL X X X 6 6
MIAMI FL 32 1 X X 33 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL 40 X X X 40 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
FT PIERCE FL 28 1 1 X 30 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
COCOA BEACH FL 15 6 1 2 24 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL 2 8 5 4 19 GULF 29N 85W X X 2 11 13
JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 4 8 13 GULF 29N 87W X X X 9 9
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 89W X X X 6 6
CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
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