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Tropical Storm KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.9N 78.4W 49 X X X 49 SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4
26.0N 79.2W 34 X X X 34 KEY WEST FL 1 4 3 4 12
26.1N 80.1W 21 2 1 1 25 MARCO ISLAND FL 5 7 4 3 19
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL 3 9 4 3 19
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3 VENICE FL 1 8 5 4 18
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL X 7 5 5 17
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 4 5 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 5 7 14
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 1 2 4 ST MARKS FL X X 2 8 10
MYEG 235N 758W 15 X 1 X 16 APALACHICOLA FL X X 2 8 10
MYAK 241N 776W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X X 1 8 9
MYNN 251N 775W 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL X X X 6 6
MYGF 266N 787W 37 X X 1 38 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
MARATHON FL 4 5 3 3 15 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL 18 3 1 1 23 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL 20 3 1 1 25 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL 12 7 2 2 23 GULF 29N 85W X X 3 8 11
COCOA BEACH FL 4 9 4 3 20 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 7 8
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 5 6 4 15 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 4 6 10 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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