Summary Minutes Approved by
the NOAA Science Advisory Board
NOAA Science Advisory Board Meeting
April 5-7, 2000
Washington, DC
THURSDAY, APRIL 6, 2000
Official Call to Order and
Review of Meeting Format
(Michael Uhart - Executive Director, NOAA Science Advisory Board)
Dr. Uhart officially called the
fifth meeting of the NOAA Science Advisory Board (SAB) to order
at 8:00 A.M. and explained the Federal Advisory Committee Act
(FACA) guidelines for the meeting.
Welcoming remarks and review
of purpose of the NOAA SAB and expectation of meeting with NOAA
Strategic Planning Leads
(D. James Baker - Under Secretary for Oceans and Atmosphere and
Administrator of NOAA)
Dr. Baker reviewed the purpose
of the SAB and the importance of the role it plays in developing
NOAA science policy and developing science programs. He suggested
that the SAB should offer to meet with the transition team and
brief new people. The FY 2002 budget will be the first one the
new Administration will see.
Questions and Discussion
Mr. Douglas asked how the SAB's
recommendations on the FY 2002 budget will be treated. Dr. Baker
replied that he will ask for them to be written and formally
presented to him, in a formal response process.
ACTION ITEM: The Chair of the
SAB shall officially transmit the Boards recommendations and
statements regarding the FY 2002 budget initiatives to Dr. Baker.
Dr. Maxwell asked if it is possible
to put together a strategic plan just for research, like Sea
Grant. Dr. Baker replied that NOAA has been successful in educating
OMB in Sea Grant research and added that it is harder to get
the money to manage, store and analyze data than it is to build
the instruments and systems to collect the data.
A discussion ensued on how to
best utilize NOAA partnerships and the SAB in the strategic planning
process. Questions include funding research and linkages with
other agencies.
Dr. Baker said that one way for
NOAA to survive is to link with other agencies.
Dr. Rice stated that partnerships
are fundamental to research surviving everywhere. NOAA could
look at improving partnerships in the areas of mission-oriented
research (fish stock assessment) and with monitoring and assessment
of data.
Dr. Stevenson-Hawk said that all kinds of research must be addressed
in an integrated way.
NOAA's Climate Service's Initiative
(Dave Evans - Director, OAR)
Dr. Evans outlined NOAA's Climate
Services initiative as an introduction to presentations on NOAA's
decadal to centennial change and seasonal and interannual climate
forecast presentations of initiatives to follow. He explained
the strategy from which the two initiatives were developed.
Presentations from NOAA Strategic
Planning Teams:
Environmental Assessment and Prediction Portfolio
Implement Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasts
(Bob Livezey - NCEP, NWS)
Dr. Livezey explained that the
goal is an integrated NOAA Climate Services System Program. Services
come out of the research, observations, and model predictions.
The strategy through FY 2006 is fix what is broken, provide
services and conduct research. About 1/3 of the FY 2002 SI budget
initiative is for research, both basic and applied. Of the 5
recommendations from the 1999 constituent workshops, only climate/weather
links and assessment of high-impact event risk has money in the
President's FY 2001 budget. The 2000 workshops endorsed the FY
2001 COOP rescue initiative and the FY 2002 surface observing
system modernization and supported increasing NOAA attention
to climate services and stakeholders, but called for more structure.
The 2000 workshops resulted in 4 recommendations: the need for
intraseasonal forecast services, integrated regional assessments,
institutionalizing mechanisms for technology transfer from lab
to operations, and training/education to NWS field and private
sector meteorologists and climatologists. He presented the Global
Ocean Observing System (GOOS) Initiative and other initiatives
including educational/outreach plans. He explained how climate
services will be organized within the NWS reorganization and
the formation of an OAR Climate Services Program Office.
Questions and Discussion
Dr. Washington asked if GOOS
just a NOAA responsibility. Dr. Livezey said that GOOS is international,
with responsibilities shared with other nations.
Dr. Hanna asked if NOAA is able
to turn its customers into paying customers and recover costs.
Dr. Livezey responded that policy and statute dictate that NOAA
can only recover cost of reproduction, unless we have specific
authority for fees, which we have in some areas.
Dr. Washington strongly supports
NOAA's support of the international efforts in the oceans. It
may be easier to sell climate services to OMB and Congress if
we package them more towards the NWS side.
Dr. Evans said that OAR tried
for climate services in the FY 2001 budget. The idea was not
to parcel out but to build up a unified climate services program.
Dr. Pietrafesa thinks what is broken is C-MAN (Coastal-Marine
Automated Network), buoys, etc. There is a part of the ocean
observing initiative, but not included in the seasonal to interannual
initiative, and there is a coastal initiative that may address
this.
Dr. Brown applauds an integrated
view, NOAA should show that there is international leveraging
of the NOAA part.
Dr. Hanna asked how to present
the market value of these services.
Mr. Douglas asked the legislative
authority to recover costs.
Ms. Fruchter explained that we
are partnering with the private sector and, any fees we charge,
they are for a narrow set of people that need the information.
Dr. Alexander asked how NOAA
has incorporated some recent papers, such as the Malone Paper.
Dr. Livezey replied that they are linked because they are the
same people.
Dr. Brown about the US position
on open access to data and information. Dr. Livezey explained
that many foreign countries are charging for special products
and that he supports NOAA and US position. There is a value.
NOAA will have to learn to change the way they do business because
of the impact.
Dr. Greenwood supports the open
access to data.
Continuation of Presentations
from NOAA Strategic Planning Teams
Environmental Assessment and Prediction Portfolio
Predict and Assess Decadal to Centennial Change
(Presenter: Dan Albritton - Director, Aeronomy Laboratory, OAR;
Tom Karl - Director, National Climatic Data Center, NESDIS)
Dr. Albritton described the strategic
planning team's current activities, FY 2001 augmentations, constituent
input, FY 2002 plans and long term plans.
Questions and Discussion
Dr. Brown asked how the climate
change, the Levitas article, and climate forcing agents fit together
within their plan? Dr. Albritton explained that observing systems,
the second part of the NOAA climate services initiative, will
address this. Components in the ocean observing system initiative
will specifically address the Levitas article.
Dr. Rice stated that the North
American chemistry part of the initiative is not a new initiative
but a new way of thinking of things. Dr. Albritton explained
that there is no FY 2002 initiative in this area. We are not
ready to describe a new national research agenda. Secondly, climate
service deserves the emphasis.
Dr. Rice asked for examples of
the end-to-end pilots. Dr. Albritton explained that NESDIS will
be connected in real-time to state and national insurance facilities.
Extreme events and information and interpretation of extreme
events will be available
Dr. Sorooshian asked if the inclusion
of water vapor is in response to the National Academy of Sciences
report. Dr. Albritton explained the current trends in tropospheric
water vapor.
Dr. Hanna asked if there was
discipline integration in the international assessment and how
it was shared with other components in NOAA. Dr. Albritton explained
that there was a good national integration of disciplines. On
the international level, it still must be improved; there was
almost no social integration.
Dr. Pietrafesa if there is any
attention to data management in the budget breakouts. Dr. Albritton
explained that data management is in the NESDIS component for
data recovery, digitizing nondigital files.
Presentation from NOAA Strategic
Planning Teams
Environmental Assessment and Prediction Portfolio
Advance Short-term Warning and Forecast Services
(Louis Uccellini - Director, National Centers for Environmental
Prediction, NWS)
Dr. Uccellini presented the FY
2002 initiatives for the advance short-term warning and forecast
services team. Six strategies were used to formulate the FY 2002
to FY 2006 budget plan: sustain a modernized infrastructure,
build upon the success of previous efforts, improve dissemination
and use of weather information, accelerate technology infusion,
operationalize space weather forecasts, and improve new service
programs (e.g., aviation and marine). He presented the results
of the FY 2000 constituent planning and priorities workshops.
Questions and Discussion
Dr. Stevenson-Hawk asked the
relationship with the University of Maryland. Dr. Uccellini responded
that there was a relationship with the meteorology department.
She wanted a copy of the white paper. Dr. Uccellini said he would
provide a copy in a couple of weeks.
ACTION ITEM: Louis Uccellini
will provide a copy of the white paper to Denise Stevenson-Hawk.
The Board discussed the value
of satellite radiances on predictability and how the lack of
radiances of value over land is a hindrance.
In response to a question by
Dr. Pietrafesa, NOAA would improve radar data through dual polarization
and an open system architecture.
Dr. Sorooshian noted that there
are still radar coverage holes in the west due to terrain.
Dr. Gober wondered about the
relationship between science and application. How much is basic
research and how much is applying research to operations? Are
there any data on how successful it is in getting money for operations
vs. research? Dr. Uccellini responded that NOAA gets about
1/10 of what NSF gets. There is now a new line in the budget.
The NWS part of the budget is operations and OAR and NESDIS are
research. But much of the NESDIS is support for operations.
Dr. Sorooshian extended his congratulations
on the joint data center with NASA.
Dr. Alexander asked if there
are any new initiatives on tsunami. Dr. Uccellini said that it
is number two for OAR and lower for the other line offices. They
have the buoys out there and now it is time for maintenance and
outreach. The objective is to lower the false alarm rate.
Presentation from NOAA Strategic
Planning Teams
Environmental Stewardship Portfolio
Sustain Healthy Coasts
(Margaret Davidson - Director, NOAA Coastal Services Center)
Ms. Davidson presented two initiatives.
One is the out of the box initiative called Predict and Reduce
Watershed Impact of Coastal Storms (PREWICS). It engages the
interactions between the ocean, atmosphere, and humans. It will
build an end-to-end capability, observer to user, capability.
There will be three pilot projects: St. Johns River, Florida,
and Southern California. Margaret provided breakouts of the budget
based on different factors, e.g., line office, team, science,
observations, and operations. There are talks with the NSF for
social science research and programs because NSF gets money for
social science but NOAA does not. USGS is building a linked initiative.
For Sustain Healthy Coasts there are 4 initiatives: habitat for
coastal life; sustainable coastal communities; creating new value
from the sea; and coral reef watch. She reviewed the outcomes
of the 2000 constituent policy and planning workshops.
Questions and Discussion
Dr. Stevenson-Hawk noted that
the pilot programs are presented as taking over 5 years and asked
if they will be completed in 5 years. Dr, Davidson replied that,
if the concept is proved, then the framework can be taken to
other regions. There will then be a national system.
Dr. Hanna asked if NOAA has thought
of the research priority process. In response, Dr. Davidson
will provide the 2-page table to the SAB.
Dr. Rice where the 6.5M goes
on the decision support line. This could involve many disciplines.
Dr. Pietrefesa stated that there is a loss of the marine buoy
network. This is picked up in this initiative. It augments the
existing network and, where there is a pilot, will add to it.
The maintenance is taken care of only in the pilot areas. C-MAN
buoys and ocean buoys are in the 2-page table.
Dr. Greenwood asked about the
offshore movement of pollutants and how do you deal with invasive
pollutants. Dr. Davidson explained that there could be atmospheric
deposition. It is a challenge, but we must start to understand
what is under our control and then look at those areas outside
of our control. NOAA is a player at the able of EPA's smart growth
initiative.
Dr. Rice asked if social scientists
involved. Dr. Davidson replied that there was, though Sea Grant.
She went on to explain that there is not a significant part of
this initiative for social science because of the budget limit.
The amount of resources available would determine the number
of pilots. Marine biotechnology and aquaculture are included.
Dr. Rice said that forecasting
plays an important role. There is a thin talent pool of those
that can use the forecast products. Is NOAA doing anything structured
to take the value of forecasting and make that knowledge and
technology available to other areas that do not have the forecasting
tools? Dr. Uccellini said that there is not a unified effort.
Mr. Douglas asked if there are
efforts in habitat characterization and understanding. How do
you know that it is at a scale useful to managers? Dr. Davidson
replied that the programs are designed based on questions posed.
They are question-driven. Little or none have been characterized.
It is a part of the initiative to do an inventory of what has
been done. Mr. Douglas asked if you can you use a pilot area
that has a problem and demonstrate to the managers how characterization
can help. Mr. Roger Griffis offered that it is being done with
coral reefs. Dr. Rice stated that international efforts have
been very slow in coming up with characterization schemes and
developing ways to carry them out.
Dr. Beeton asked that, if we
assume you will only get 10% of what you ask for, how do you
distribute the funds? A question for all of team leads. Ms.
Davidson hopes the board can help the teams determine this. Dr.
Livsey stated that in the passbacks, the teams were asked for
their priorities when the budget came back lower than requested.
These are discussed within each team. He would be looking to
the SAB for constructive statements. Dr. Albritton said that
his team will prioritize, as they have done before. SAB comments
could be useful in that perspective. Comments by the SAB for
next year and beyond would be useful. Dr. Uccellini explains
that it is frustrating; there is a lot of effort with relatively
little funding payoff.
Dr. Sorooshian said that experience and the Board's involvement
in reviews will be the process that will help them determine
what is best. Our intent is to determine how to improve the budget
process.
Dr. Stevenson-Hawk asked how
goals and performance measures are formulated. Dr. Uccellini
explained that we are trying to identify the next level of skill.
It is a realistic expectation, but not a guarantee.
Mr. Douglas stated that this
Board does not want to do anything to set back the planning process
up to this point. How can we focus on the charge that we have?
He said that at the priorities and planning workshop for Sustain
Healthy Coasts, characterization does not have a lot of support
because coast owners think it is threatening.
Dr. Brown suggested there are
old and new ways of approaching problems. ENSO just happened.
Sustained efforts sometimes lead to revolutionary improvements.
He has doubts on the scalability of characterization. Dr. Davidson
agreed that has to be addressed.
Dr. Gober believes that innovation
comes form integration and interdisciplinary research.
Dr. Rice said that research across
disciplines is what is important. Is it too late for the SAB
to actually do something about the FY 2002 budget? We can be
helpful in advising on how NOAA can make some meaningful initiatives
successful (funding). Can we improve the will to fund? Dr. Uccellini
replied that the Board can help with advice on what the team
responses will be to prioritize the DOC and OMB passbacks.
The SAB discussed the critical
nature of climate services. The Board members would like talking
points of NOAA high priority initiatives. A list of appropriators
in both House and Senate would be useful.
ACTION ITEM: Provide the Board
with a list of appropriators in the House and the Senate.
The meeting adjourned for the day.
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