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gfdl's home page > gfdl on-line bibliography > 1994: The Atlantic Climate Change Program, 77-80
Predictability of North Atlantic climate variability on multidecadal time scales.
| Griffies, S., and K. Bryan, 1994: Predictability of North Atlantic climate variability on multidecadal time scales. In The Atlantic Climate Change Program, Proceedings from the principal investigators meeting, NOAA: University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, 77-80. |
| Abstract: A major goal of the ACCP program is to gain the understanding of North Atlantic climate variability required for making predictions. An essential first step in this direction is to assess the predictability of Atlantic climate variability from models. A methodology for doing this was first proposed by Lorenz (1965) for atmospheric models. Recently, predictability studies have been extended to coupled atmosphere-ocean models in connection with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon (e.g., Cane and Zebiak, 1987; Goswami and Shukla, 1991). At present, no operational monitoring system exists to provide proper initial conditions for the ocean on a global basis or even for the North Atlantic. The goal of this study is to use the GFDL climate model to determine the value, in terms of practical prediction of multi-decadal climate variability, of an operational, deep-sea observing system. We present here preliminary results toward this goal. |