NOUS41 KWBC 201805 PNSWSH TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 08-42 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 205 PM EDT TUE MAY 20 2008 TO: SUBSCRIBERS: -FAMILY OF SERVICES -NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE -EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK OTHER NWS PARTNERS...USERS AND EMPLOYEES FROM: JASON TUELL SCIENCE PLANS BRANCH CHIEF OFFICE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SUBJECT: ENSEMBLE WAVE MODEL CHANGES: EFFECTIVE JUNE 24 2008 EFFECTIVE TUESDAY JUNE 24 2008...BEGINNING WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...THE NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /NCEP/ WILL INTRODUCE CHANGES TO THE ENSEMBLE WAVE MODEL. THE MODEL CHANGES INCLUDE: 1. USING THE NEW MULTI-GRID WAVEWATCH-III MODEL TO DRIVE THE ENSEMBLES. THIS MODEL IS CURRENTLY BEING USED IN THE FORECAST WAVE MODEL AND INCLUDES UPGRADES TO MODEL PHYSICS. 2. ADDING A 1 DEGREE X 1 DEGREE GLOBAL GRID THAT EXTENDS FROM -80S TO 80N. 3. EXTENDING ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM 10 TO 20. 4. EXTENDING FORECASTS FROM 5 DAYS TO 10 DAYS. 5. INSTEAD OF USING THE SAME RESTART FILE FOR ALL THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WILL NOW RETAIN THEIR OWN INDIVIDUAL RESTART FILES. THIS PROVIDES GREATER VARIABILITY IN THE ENSEMBLES...MAKING THE STATISTICS MORE MEANINGFUL. 6. PROVIDING ALL OUTPUT FILES IN GRIB2 FORMAT. THE COMBINED IMPACT OF THESE CHANGES HAS LED TO AN IMPROVEMENT IN MODEL PERFORMANCE BECAUSE THERE IS A GREATER SPREAD IN THE WAVE DATA WHICH ACCURATELY REFLECTS THE SPREAD IN THE WIND ENSEMBLES. THIS CHANGE IN TURN PROVIDES BETTER STATISTICAL ESTIMATES. DATA DELIVERY TIMING/CONTENT/VOLUME CHANGES: NOAAPORT DATA: THESE DATA SETS ARE NOT AVAILABLE ON NOAAPORT. NWS FTP SERVER: THESE DATA SETS ARE NOT AVAILABLE ON THE NWS FTP SERVER. NCEP FTP SERVER: A CONSISTENT FEED OF TEST DATA WILL BECOME AVAILABLE ON MAY 19 2008 IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION ON THE NCEP FTP SERVER /USE LOWERCASE LETTERS/: FTP://FTPPRD.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PUB/DATA/NCCF/COM/WAVE/PARA FILENAMES AFFECTED BY THIS CHANGE CONTAIN ONE OF THE FOLLOWING QUALIFIERS /USE LOWERCASE LETTERS/: MENS GEP MEAN SPREAD PROBAB IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS ABOUT THESE CHANGES...PLEASE CONTACT: HENDRIK TOLMAN NCEP/EMC...CHIEF MARINE MODELING BRANCH CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND PHONE: 301 763 8000 X7253 EMAIL: HENDRIK.TOLMAN@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS REGARDING THE DATAFLOW ASPECTS OF THESE DATA SETS...PLEASE CONTACT THE NCEP/NCO/PMB DATAFLOW HELP DESK AT: EMAIL: NCEP.PMB.DATAFLOW@NOAA.GOV NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM $$ NNNN