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We have reorganized our Research Programs. Most of the research projects from this program are now organized under the Physical Environment Prediction Research Program.
GLERL WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH PROGRAM
Task Leader: Thomas Croley
This research program develops improved Great Lakes water resource predictions, climatology, statistics for decision-making, and process studies, and develops interfaces with policy and decision-makers. There are two primary components to this research program: Water Resources Forecasting, and Hydrologic Processes.
Water Resources Forecasting
Develop a system for nowcasts and 1-day-to-3-month
probabilistic forecasts of water supplies, lake levels, and
connecting channel flows, with consideration of basin moisture
storage and lake heat storage variables, to produce useful and
timely forecast products and capabilities.
Current Water Resources Forecasting Projects
Recent Water Resources Forecasting Products
CROLEY, T. E. II. 2003. Weighted parametric operational hydrology forecasting. Proceedings, World Water and Environmental Resources Congress 2003, Philadelphia, PA, June 23-26, 2003. Environmental Water Resources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers, 10 pp. http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/fulltext/2003/20030011.pdf
click here for July 2003 article in NOAA magazine about Great Lakes water levels
Updated software on the World Wide Web: Derivative Outlook Weights, a special-purpose GUI, for using probabilistic meteorology outlooks to make derivative outlooks. Accompanied by complete updated documentation in a self-installing file at: Derivative Outlook Weights Software.
Hydrologic Processes
Adapt or develop models that couple atmospheric and hydrological processes to gain predictive capability for rainfall-runoff, evapotranspiration, moisture storage, lake surface flux, thermal structure, heat storage, and other processes relating to the hydrologic cycle, and apply these models to water resources forecasting and climate change assessments.
Current Hydrologic Processes Projects
Recent Hydrologic Processes Products
Large Basin Run-off Model Software
http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/wr/lbrmexamples.html
Updated hydrometeorology data through 1999-2000 for the Great Lakes and their basins is available on the World Wide Web at: tech reports
Past Water Resources Forecasting Projects
- Statistical Modeling of Meteorological Variables at Seasonal Timescales
- Hydrology Forecast Improvements
- Great Lakes Hydrometeorological Station Directory Database and Internet Web Development
- Advanced Hydrologic Prediction
Past Hydrologic Projects
- Improving Ice Cover and Evaporation Estimates
- Probabilistic Forecasts of Alewife Fall Condition
- Understanding Hydraulic Processes
- Lake Superior Pre-Regulation Scenarios
- Great Lakes Hydrologic Data Base Development
Last updated: 2005-02-04 mbl