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DROUGHT WORSENS IN WEST, EASES IN EAST
NOAA Issues Outlook For Summer; Unveils New Fire Detector on
NOAA Satellite
June 13, 2002 The hot, dry conditions,
which have fueled raging wildfires
in several western states, are expected to hang on through September,
according to the latest seasonal outlook from NOAA's
National Weather Service. Along the East Coast, forecasters
today also predicted drought
conditions to slowly improve as summer unfolds. (Click image
for larger view of NOAA's seasonal drought outlook through September
2002. Click here
for high resolution version. Please note this is a large file.
For 300 dpi TIFF file click
here.)
Since January, wildfires have torched nearly 1.4 million acres
of the nation's landscapefrom New Jersey to California.
That is twice the yearly average for this time of year, and 200,000
acres more than in 2000, the worst year on record. Currently,
19 large fires are burning, including six in Colorado, where
residents in Denver this week had to contend with smoky haze
from the state's worst fire on record.
Speaking at a news conference at NOAA's
National Centers for Environmental Prediction in Camp Springs,
Md., John E. Jones, Jr., deputy director of NOAA's National Weather
Service, said, "The summer outlook does not bode well for
the wildfire situation in the West, where conditions are ripe
for more fire activity." (Click NOAA image for larger
view of U.S. Drought Monitor as of June 11, 2002. Click
here for high resolution version. Please note this is a large
file. For 300 dip TIFF file click
here.)
While forecasters project above-normal
rainfall over much of Colorado and eastern Utah, Jones said the
extra rain would do little to improve drought conditions in those
areas, because the rainfall amounts will still not be enough
erase the water deficit. NOAA's
Climate Prediction Center is the section of NOAA's National
Weather Service that issues long-range climate and weather outlooks.
Outlook for the West
Jones said states in the West, including the Southwest and southern
Texas, are likely to experience above-normal temperatures through
September, while the rest of the country has an even chance of
feeling above, below or average heat.
Recent record high temperatures
helped stoke the flames of wildfires in California, New Mexico,
Colorado, Nebraska and Kansas. "Prolonged drought, coupled
with high temperatures, and strong winds, spell fire danger anywhere,"
Jones said.
Although late-season snowfall
in parts of Montana has improved the drought status somewhat,
serious drought problems persist. He added that NOAA forecasters
are expecting below-normal rainfall throughout Washington, Oregon,
Idaho, western Montana, northern Nevada and northern California.
Rains Ease Drought In East
Along the East Coast, near-to-above average rainfall helped bring
drought relief to major metropolitan areas from Washington, D.C.,
to Boston, Mass., during spring, according to NOAA's National
Climatic Data Center. Reservoir levels climbed as seasonal precipitation
was above average following five consecutive months (October
through February) of below-average precipitation in the Northeast.
Jim Laver, director of NOAA's
Climate Prediction Center, said, "Despite the rain, drought
conditions still exist in the East, especially in the Southeast
where the real focus is now. The precipitation made a dent in
the drought, especially across the Appalachians and Northeast,
but as a whole, the East is not out of the woods yet," Laver
said.
New Fire Detector From Space
NOAA is unveiling a new weapon being added to the firefighters
arsenal. NOAA's Satellite
and Data Service has developed a new technique using data
from its geostationary satellites to automatically detect
wildfires and relay real time satellite imagery to fire managers
and weather and climate scientists. Relayed every 30 minutes,
the images are especially useful in showing the progress of fast-growing
fires and in finding fires in remote areas. The technique was
developed by researchers at NOAA and the University of Wisconsin
Space Science and Engineering Center in Madison, Wis., and will
be deployed and fully operational by September.
NOAA's National Weather Service
is the primary source of weather data, forecasts and warnings
for the United States and its territories. The National Weather
Service operates the most advanced weather and flood warning
and forecast system in the world, helping to protect lives and
property and enhance the national economy.
Relevant Web Sites
NOAA's
Drought Information Center
NOAA's Fire Weather
Information Center
NOAA's
Wildfire Detection
New Fire Product Makes It Easier to Find
Fires
NOAA's
USA Drought Assessment
Seasonal
Outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
Media Contacts:
Curtis
Carey or John Leslie,
NOAA National Weather Service,
(301) 713-0622
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