Energy Strategy for the Future

The Energy Picture: Where Are We Now? Where Are We Headed?

EPA’s experience, through its interactions with U.S. companies, is that many are initiating energy programs. For companies operating formal energy programs, these programs are typically less than 5 years old. And, the involvement of senior executives in energy planning and decisionmaking is just beginning.

Market trends suggest that the demand for energy resources will rise dramatically over the next 25 years:

• Global demand for all energy sources is forecast to grow by 57% over the next 25 years.
• U.S. demand for all types of energy is expected to increase by 31% within 25 years.
• By 2030, 56% of the world’s energy use will be in Asia.
• Electricity demand in the U.S. will grow by at least 40% by 2032.
• New power generation equal to nearly 300 (1,000MW) power plants will be needed to meet electricity demand by 2030.
• Currently, 50% of U.S. electrical generation relies on coal, a fossil fuel; while 85% of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions result from energy-consuming activities supported by fossil fuels.

If energy prices also rise dramatically due to increased demand and constrained supply, business impacts could include:

• Reduced profits due to high operating costs.
• Decline of sales of energy-using products.
• Loss of competitiveness in energy intensive businesses.
• Disruptions in supply chains as suppliers are unable to meet cost obligations or go bankrupt.

Recent history also demonstrates that catastrophic weather events, terrorism, and shifting economic centers are not just events of our imagination but realities of our lifetime.

Given this challenging landscape, what steps do U.S. businesses need to take today to survive a potentially disruptive energy future?

The Future of Corporate Energy Management

Global Business Network (GBN), a member of the Monitor Group, in cooperation with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), gathered senior executives from twenty major U.S. companies to consider the potential energy impacts that U.S. businesses may face over the next decade. Based on four plausible scenarios of the world in 2020, the report Energy Strategy for the Road Ahead identifies a set of strategies that will help businesses act now to prepare for future energy-related risks.

• Using Scenarios to Plan for the Future
• Taking Action Now for the Future — The Strategies