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Vis > gallery > climate prediction > Model Generated Hurricanes

Model Generated Hurricanes

image Model Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR)

An animation of simulated clouds and weather systems generated for a three-month period (Aug-Oct 2005) using the GFDL Zetac regional atmospheric model. The brighest shading in the tropical parts of the domain corresponds to high clouds associated with storms and deep tropical convection.

Land reflectivity image courtesy NASA

Reproduced as cover art in the June 2008 printing of Nature Geoscience.

Animations:
AVI (10 MB)
QuickTime (26 MB)
Windows Media Video (15 MB)


image Model Surface Pressure

Two contrasting seasons are compared--an inactive (1994) and an active (2005) hurricane season. In this animation, model-generated tropical storms, hurricanes, and strong extratropical storms are apparent as intense low- pressure systems that travel through the domain. Bottom panels show the observed and simulated storm tracks for the two seasons. Note how the model produces highly contrasting overall activity levels for the two seasons, similar to that observed.

Animations:
AVI (6 MB)
QuickTime (21 MB)
Windows Media Video (6 MB)

image Boundary Layer Wind Speed

Animation of low-level wind speeds from a three month simulation using the GFDL Zetac regional atmospheric model. Model-generated tropical storms, hurricanes, and strong extratropical storms are apparent as wind speed maxima that travel through the domain. Red colors roughly denote surface wind speeds above hurricane strength (>33 m s-1).

Animations:
AVI (5 MB)
QuickTime (14 MB)
Windows Media Video (6 MB)

These visualizations are also available as supplemental material for the Nature Geosciences letter Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first-century warming conditions .

Project  
Scientists: Tom Knutson
Isaac Held
Steve Garner
Joe Sirutis
Gabe Vecchi
Model: GFDL ZETAC
Visualization  
Software: Quicktime Pro (Animation)
Gimp, ImageMagick (Compositing)
Ncview (2D Rendering)
VTK (Data Mapping and 2D Rendering)
Python (Scripting)
NetCDF (Data Formatting)
Maya (3D Rendering)
Date Published: 2008/05/15
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last modified: June 02 2008.
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