Most Recent Analyses by Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections Staff


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  • "Employment Outlook: 2006-16," articles from the November 2007 Monthly Labor Review
  • "A new look at long-term labor force projections to 2050," Monthly Labor Review, November 2006, pp. 19-39, by Mitra Toossi
    Abstract:
    Among the factors affecting the size, composition, and growth of the labor force over the next 50 years are the aging of the baby-boom generation, the stabilization of women’s labor force participation rates, and increasing racial and ethnic diversity in the workforce. The 2005-50 period is projected to witness the massive exit of the baby-boom generation out of the labor force, bringing to an end one of the major drivers of labor force growth over the post-World War II period.
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  • "Occupational changes during the 20th Century," Monthly Labor Review, March 2006, pp. 35-57, by Ian D. Wyatt and Daniel E. Hecker
    Abstract:
    With occupation data from the 2000 census now available, it is an appropriate time to analyze occupational employment trends over the 20th century. The shift from a workforce composed mostly of manual workers to one comprising mostly white-collar and service workers is generally known. This article reveals just how radical that shift has been.
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  • "Employment Outlook: 2004-14," articles from the November 2005 Monthly Labor Review
  • "Occupational mobility, January 2004," Monthly Labor Review, December 2005, pp. 30-35, by Lynn Shniper
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  • "High-technology employment: a NAICS-based update," Monthly Labor Review, July 2005, pp. 57-72, by Daniel E. Hecker
    Abstract:
    Among high-technology industries—those with a high proportion of scientists, engineers, and technicians—some are projected to grow rapidly; overall, however, this group of industries is expected to continue to grow slowly.
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  • "Employment Outlook: 2002-12," articles from the February 2004 Monthly Labor Review
  • "Evaluating the BLS labor force projections to 2000," Monthly Labor Review, October 2003, pp. 3-13, by Howard N. Fullerton, Jr.
    Abstract:
    BLS labor force participation rates were high and census population projections were low, resulting in relatively accurate labor force projections to 2000.
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  • "Evaluating the BLS 1988–2000 employment projections," Monthly Labor Review, October 2003, pp. 13-37, by Andrew Alpert and Jill Auyer
    Abstract:
    BLS employment projections for the period from 1988 to 2000 were borne out in most broad occupations; the chief source of error was the projection of changes in staffing patterns, attributable primarily to the conservative nature of the projections.
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  • "Consumer spending: an engine for U.S. job growth," Monthly Labor Review, November 2002, pp. 12-22, by Mitra Toossi
    Abstract:
    Personal consumption expenditures continue to account for more than 60 percent of total employment in the U.S. economy, with consumers increasingly shifting their purchases to a sophisticated array of personal services.
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  • "A century of change: U.S. labor force from 1950 to 2050," Monthly Labor Review, May 2002, pp. 15-28, by Mitra Toossi
    Abstract:
    With slower growth, aging, and increasing diversity, the profile of the labor force is undergoing significant change.
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  • "Employment Outlook: 2000-10," articles from the November 2001 Monthly Labor Review
  • "Employment impact of electronic business," Monthly Labor Review, May 2001, pp. 3-16, by Daniel E. Hecker
    Abstract:
    E-business both stimulates and dampens employment; however assessments of the impacts can only be qualitative, not quantitative.
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  • "Gauging the labor force effects of retiring baby-boomers," Monthly Labor Review, July 2000, pp. 17-25, by Arlene Dohm
    Abstract:
    The effects on certain occupations and industries will be substantial, as many of the vacated jobs will require relatively high levels of skill.
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  • "Labor force participation: 75 years of change, 1950-98 and 1998-2025", Monthly Labor Review, December 1999, pp. 3-12, by Howard N Fullerton, Jr.
    Abstract:
    Women's rates have increased significantly, narrowing the gap between rates for women and men.
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  • "Employment Outlook: 1998-2008," articles from the November 1999 Monthly Labor Review

Availability

This month's and last month's issues of the Monthly Labor Review are available from the Government Printing Office Bookstore. Issues from 1982 to the present are available online. Earlier issues are out of print but should be available at a Federal Depository Library.

 

Last Modified Date: December 4, 2007