The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Marine Biological Laboratory, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, The Horn Point Laboratory, and University of Connecticut co-sponsored the special session "Prediction and Understanding: Model Approaches, Applications and Performance" at the Estuarine Research Federation's 19th Biennial International Conference in Providence, Rhode Island, on November 4-8, 2007. The session provied a venue for discussion of how modelers, and the managers who use models or model results, can achieve or improve confidence in their application. Papers on innovative modeling approaches, predictability, novel validation/evaluation techniques, and examples of current uses of models in the coastal environment were presented.

USGS Presentations

• Applying Ecological Models to Environmental Restoration in the Everglades, by DeAngelis, Donald L. (USGS), Trexler, Joel C. (Florida International University), Mooij, Wolf M. (Netherlands Institute of Ecology), and Donalson, Douglas D. (Everglades National Park)
• Modeling Phytoplankton Dynamics to Understand Sources and Losses in a Complex Tidal Low-Productivity System, by Lucas, Lisa V. (USGS), Monsen, Nancy E. (USGS), and Cloern, James (USGS)
• Applying a Tidal-timescale Model to Simulate Decadal-timescale Scenarios of Estuarine Geomorphic Change, by Ganju, Neil K. (USGS), Schoellhamer, David H. (USGS)

Conveners

• Lora Harris, Marine Biological Laboratory,
• Mark Brush, Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS), College of William and Mary,
• Lisa Lucas, USGS,
• W. Michael Kemp, The Horn Point Laboratory (HPL), University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science,
• James Kremer, University of Connecticut,

General Conference Information

• Conference Home Page
• Full Conference Agenda

More Information

• Plankton Dynamics in Tidal Estuaries
• Water Quality of San Francisco Bay
• Availability of Trace Elements in Sediments to Aquatic Organisms
• Ecology and Contaminants

Related Headlines

• Microscopic Phytoplankton Can Cause Big Problems for Estuaries
• Biodynamic Model is Unraveling the Complexities of Metal Bioaccumulation from Contaminated Sediments
• A Tool for Predicting the Effect of Invasive Species on Aquatic Food Webs
• Silver can Affect Fish Reproduction in San Francisco Bay

Related USGS Research Papers

Croteau, M.N., and Luoma, S.N., 2008, A biodynamic understanding of dietborne metal uptake by a freshwater invertebrate: Environmental Science and Technology, doi:10.1021/es7022913 (Advanced web release).

Buchwalter, D.B., Cain, D.J., Clements, W.H., and Luoma, S.N., 2008, Using biodynamic models to reconcile differences between laboratory toxicity tests and field biomonitoring with aquatic insects: Environmental Science and Technology, doi:10.1021/es703130e (Advanced Web release).

Presser, T.S., and Luoma, S.N., 2007, Forecasting selenium discharges to the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary--Ecological effects of a proposed San Luis Drain extension: Professional Paper 1646, 196 p.

Buchwalter, D.B., Cain, D.J., Clements, W.H., and Luoma, S.N., 2007, Using biodynamic models to reconcile differences between laboratory toxicity tests and field biomonitoring with aquatic insects: Environmental Science and Technology, v. 41, no. 13, p. 4,821-4,828, doi:10.1021/es070464y.

Luoma, S.N., and Rainbow, P.S., 2005, Why is metal bioaccumulation so variable? Biodynamics as a unifying concept: Environmental Science and Technology, v. 39, no. 7, p. 1921-1931, doi:10.1021/es048947e.

Schlekat, C.E., Purkerson, D.G., and Luoma, S.N., 2004, Modeling selenium bioaccumulation through arthropod food webs in San Francisco Bay, California, USA: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, v. 23, no. 12, p. 3003-3010, doi:10.1897/03-4.1.

Presser, T.S., and Luoma, S.N., 2004, Linking selenium sources to ecosystems--San Francisco Bay-Delta model: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2004-3091, 4 p.

Back to Meetings Page