Home -> Library -> Synthesis and Assessment Products -> Product 2.1 -> Final Report

Search

US Climate Change Science Program Updated 10 July 2007

Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations; and Review of Integrated Scenario Development and Application

Final Report, Synthesis and Assessment Product 2.1

Printed copies of this report are available free from the online catalog of the Global Change Research Information Office.

Also available are the following two databases of scenario information collected from the participating modeling teams.  The two data files include the following fields:  Region, Category, Sub Category, Variable, Units, Run Label, Year. 

  1. CCSP-2-1A-Scenario-Information-070707.xls Includes "all the information that was collected from the modeling teams to support the development of this report, including the figures and tables presented in the report."
  2. CCSP2-1a-other-species-070707.xls.  Includes "additional emissions information for substances not included in the radiative forcing stabilization levels used in this research, such as ozone precursors and aerosols. The emissions profiles for these other substances are different from what would emerge in scenarios in which these substances are explicitly included in stabilizing radiative forcing."

Final Report

Note: All links are to PDF files. See also Second Major U.S. Climate Change Science Program Report Issued, press release (dtd 10 July 2007) from the Department of Energy.

Part A. Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations
Complete Report [ 2 Mb]
Front Cover (outside) [195 kb]
Front Cover (inside).  Includes list of members of the Federal Executive Team and Other Agency Representatives [ 33kb]
Authors [274 kb]
Climate Change Science Program Product Development Advisory Committee [38 kb]
Transmittal Letter [180 kb]
Acknowledgment, Editorial Team and Recommended Citations [51 kb]
Table of Contents [54 kb]
Executive Summary [112 kb]
Technical Summary [3 mb]
Chapter 1 [219 kb] Introduction and Overview
Chapter 2 [218 kb] Models Used in this Study

Chapter 3 [2 Mb] Reference Scenarios
Chapter 4 [6 Mb] Stabilization Scenarios
Chapter 5 [204 kb] Findings, Uses, and Future Directions
Appendix [37 kb]
Acronyms [46 kb]
References [63 kb]
Back cover (inside).  Includes contact information and members of the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [48 kb]
Back cover (outside) [188 kb]

Part B.  Global-Change Scenarios: Their Development and Use
Complete Report [2 Mb]
Front Cover (outside) [196 kb]
Front Cover (inside).  Includes list of members of the Federal Executive Team and Other Agency Representatives [34 kb]
Authors [256 kb]
Climate Change Science Program Product Development Advisory Committee [39 kb]
Transmittal Letter [165 kb]
Acknowledgment, Editorial Team and Recommended Citations [51 kb]
Table of Contents [51 kb]
Executive Summary [161 kb]
Introduction [94 kb]
Chapter 1. Scenarios, their Characteristics and Uses [141 kb]
Chapter 2. Scenarios in Global-Change Analysis and Decision Support [426 kb]
Chapter 3. Review of Major Climate- Change Scenario Exercises [211 kb]
Chapter 4. Challenges and Controversies in Scenarios for Climate Change [469  kb]
Chapter 5. Conclusions and Recommendations [146 kb]
Acronyms [45 kb]
References [98 kb]
Back cover (inside).  Includes contact information and members of the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [52 kb]
Back cover (outside) [188 kb]

This document, the second of the Synthesis and Assessment Products described in the U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) Strategic Plan, was developed with broad scientific input and in accordance with the Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products, Section 515 of the Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act for Fiscal Year 2001 (Public
Law 106-554), and the information quality act guidelines issued by the Department of Energy pursuant to Section 515. The CCSP Interagency Committee relies on Department of Energy certifications regarding compliance with Section 515 and the Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products.   This document does not express any regulatory policies of the United States or any of its agencies, or provide recommendations for regulatory action.

 

US Climate Change Science Program, Suite 250, 1717 Pennsylvania Ave, NW, Washington, DC 20006. Tel: +1 202 223 6262. Fax: +1 202 223 3065. Email: . Web: www.climatescience.gov. Webmaster:
US Climate Change Science Program Home Page