Poll Chart
2014 Kentucky Senate: McConnell vs. Grimes
This chart combines the latest opinion polls using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released.
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Overall Senate Outlook
There's a 63% chance that Republicans will take control of the Senate. See our full forecast »
Latest Polls
| Pollster | Dates | Pop. | McConnell | Grimes | Undecided | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS/NYT/YouGov | 10/16 - 10/23 | 1,502 LV | 45 | 39 | 14 | McConnell +6 |
| VCR (R-McConnell) | 10/16 - 10/21 | 815 LV | 49 | 41 | 7 | McConnell +8 |
| Western Kentucky University | 10/16 - 10/19 | 557 LV | 45 | 42 | 8 | McConnell +3 |
| SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal/Herald-Leader/WHAS/WKYT | 10/15 - 10/19 | 655 LV | 44 | 43 | 8 | McConnell +1 |
| Rasmussen | 10/15 - 10/16 | 1,000 LV | 52 | 44 | 3 | McConnell +8 |
| Gravis/Human Events (R) | 10/11 - 10/12 | 1,020 LV | 50 | 47 | 4 | McConnell +3 |
| FOX | 10/4 - 10/7 | 706 LV | 45 | 41 | 9 | McConnell +4 |
| SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal/Herald-Leader/WHAS/WKYT | 9/29 - 10/2 | 632 LV | 44 | 46 | 7 | Grimes +2 |
| CBS/NYT/YouGov | 9/20 - 10/1 | 1,689 LV | 47 | 41 | 9 | McConnell +6 |
| Mellman (D-Grimes) | 9/19 - 9/27 | 1,800 LV | 40 | 42 | 16 | Grimes +2 |
| Gravis/Human Events (R) | 9/13 - 9/16 | 839 LV | 51 | 41 | 8 | McConnell +10 |
| Ipsos/Reuters | 9/8 - 9/12 | 944 LV | 46 | 42 | 6 | McConnell +4 |
| Magellan (R-National Mining Association) | 9/4 - 9/7 | 742 LV | 50 | 42 | 2 | McConnell +8 |
| Mellman (D-Grimes) | 9/4 - 9/7 | 800 LV | 42 | 43 | 15 | Grimes +1 |
| NBC/Marist | 9/2 - 9/4 | 691 LV | 47 | 39 | 6 | McConnell +8 |
| Rasmussen | 9/1 - 9/2 | 750 LV | 46 | 41 | 6 | McConnell +5 |
| CBS/NYT/YouGov | 8/18 - 9/2 | 2,130 LV | 47 | 42 | 9 | McConnell +5 |
| CNN | 8/28 - 9/1 | 671 LV | 50 | 46 | 3 | McConnell +4 |
| SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal/Herald-Leader/WHAS/WKYT | 8/25 - 8/27 | 569 LV | 46 | 42 | 8 | McConnell +4 |
| PPP (D) | 8/7 - 8/10 | 991 LV | 44 | 40 | 9 | McConnell +4 |
| CBS/NYT/YouGov | 7/5 - 7/24 | 1,515 LV | 50 | 46 | 2 | McConnell +4 |
| SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal/Herald-Leader/WHAS/WKYT | 7/18 - 7/23 | 604 LV | 47 | 45 | 8 | McConnell +2 |
| Gravis/Human Events (R) | 7/17 - 7/20 | 1,054 LV | 45 | 45 | 10 | - |
| VCR (R-McConnell) | 6/22 - 6/25 | 807 LV | 49 | 42 | - | McConnell +7 |
| PPP (D-Americans for Tax Fairness Action Fund) | 6/20 - 6/22 | 682 LV | 46 | 48 | 6 | Grimes +2 |
| POS (R-American Crossroads) | 6/14 - 6/17 | 800 LV | 48 | 43 | - | McConnell +5 |
| Magellan (R-National Mining Association) | 6/4 - 6/5 | 808 LV | 46 | 49 | 5 | Grimes +3 |
| Rasmussen | 5/28 - 5/29 | 750 LV | 48 | 41 | 7 | McConnell +7 |
| Wenzel Strategies (R) | 5/23 - 5/24 | 608 LV | 47 | 44 | 8 | McConnell +3 |
| SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal/Herald-Leader/WHAS/WKYT | 5/14 - 5/16 | 1,475 LV | 42 | 43 | 7 | Grimes +1 |
| NBC/Marist | 4/30 - 5/6 | 2,353 RV | 46 | 45 | 8 | McConnell +1 |
| Hickman (D-Consumer Energy Alliance) | 4/24 - 4/30 | 500 LV | 46 | 45 | 9 | McConnell +1 |
| Gravis/Human Events (R) | 4/15 - 4/17 | 1,359 RV | 43 | 36 | 12 | McConnell +7 |
| NYT/Kaiser | 4/8 - 4/15 | 891 RV | 44 | 43 | 11 | McConnell +1 |
| PPP (D-MoveOn) | 4/1 - 4/2 | 663 RV | 44 | 45 | 12 | Grimes +1 |
| Wenzel Strategies (R) | 2/8 - 2/11 | 1,002 LV | 43 | 42 | 15 | McConnell +1 |
| SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal/Herald-Leader/WHAS/WKYT | 1/30 - 2/4 | 1,082 RV | 42 | 46 | 12 | Grimes +4 |
| Rasmussen | 1/29 - 1/30 | 500 LV | 42 | 42 | 10 | - |
| PPP (D-Americans United for Change) | 1/24 - 1/26 | 882 LV | 45 | 44 | 11 | McConnell +1 |
| Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) | 1/2 - 1/2 | 683 RV | 42 | 37 | 13 | McConnell +5 |
| Gravis/Human Events (R) | 12/29/13 - 1/2/14 | 1,153 RV | 42 | 37 | 13 | McConnell +5 |
| PPP (D) | 12/12 - 12/15/13 | 1,509 LV | 43 | 42 | 15 | McConnell +1 |
| Lake Research (D-MoveOn) | 10/24 - 10/29/13 | 603 LV | 37 | 37 | 19 | - |
| DFM Research (D-SMART) | 10/21 - 10/27/13 | 600 A | 41 | 40 | 19 | McConnell +1 |
| PPP (D-Americans United for Change) | 10/14 - 10/15/13 | 1,193 LV | 43 | 45 | 12 | Grimes +2 |
| Lake Research (D-Public Campaign Action Fund) | 8/5 - 8/15/13 | 5,000 RV | 40 | 46 | 14 | Grimes +6 |
| Wenzel Strategies (R) | 7/23 - 7/24/13 | 624 LV | 48 | 40 | 12 | McConnell +8 |
| Mellman (D-Grimes) | 7/20 - 7/24/13 | 750 LV | 42 | 44 | 14 | Grimes +2 |
| PPP (D-Progressive Change Campaign Committee) | 7/19 - 7/21/13 | 1,210 LV | 44 | 45 | 11 | Grimes +1 |
| Wenzel Strategies (R) | 6/1 - 6/2/13 | 623 LV | 47 | 40 | 14 | McConnell +7 |
| PPP (D-Senate Majority PAC) | 5/23 - 5/24/13 | 556 LV | 45 | 45 | 10 | - |
| PPP (D) | 4/5 - 4/7/13 | 1,052 LV | 45 | 41 | 14 | McConnell +4 |
| PPP (D) | 12/7 - 12/9/12 | 1,266 LV | 47 | 40 | 13 | McConnell +7 |
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